AFC Championship Game Prediction
Are the Steelers a good bet to cover versus the Patriots in tonight's AFC Championship Game at 6:40PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Patriots are 6-point home favorites versus the Steelers after also opening as a 6-point favorite. The total, meanwhile, sits at 50 points after hitting the board initially at 51.
PITTSBURGH KEY TRENDS: The Steelers are 2-0-2 against the spread in their last four playoff games and are a perfect 5-0 against the number in their last five road games. They're also 7-1-1 against the spread in their last nine games overall, are 6-1-1 against the number in their last eight games following a win and are 6-1-1 at the betting window in their last eight conference games. They're 13-3-3 ATS in their last 19 games in January as well.
NEW ENGLAND KEY TRENDS: The Patriots are a perfect 5-0 against the spread in their last five conference games, are 4-1 against the number in their last five playoff games and have covered in four of their last five home playoff games as well. They're 25-9-2 at the betting window in their last 36 home games to boot.
OUR PREDICTION: Thanks to James Harrison, Bud Dupree, Ryan Shazier and Stephen Tuitt, the Steelers have the ability to get after Tom Brady. Teams that can make Brady uncomfortable in the pocket have an opportunity to upset the Pats and Pittsburgh at least has the components to get after the quarterback. On the other side, the Steelers have a three-headed monster in Ben Roethlisberger, Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown to, at the very least, keep this game close throughout. This isn't one of Bill Belichick's most talented teams and while it's usually unwise to bet against Brady and Co. on their home field, I'll take the points in what should be a competitive game throughout.
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME PREDICTION: PITTSBURGH STEELERS +6