Patriots vs. Bills NFL Prediction
The third installment of Patriots-Bills will take place on Saturday night when the AFC East will clash in Buffalo for Wild Card Weekend. Are the Bills laying too many points as a 4.5-point home favorite?
143 New England Patriots (+4.5) at 144 Buffalo Bills (-4.5); o/u 44
8:15 p.m. ET, Saturday, January 15, 2022
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
New England Patriots DFS Spin
Patriots RB Damien Harris was listed as questionable for Saturday's game against Buffalo. He'll play barring anything unforseen, as the team has listed him with this ailment since it happened and Harris hasn't sat out a game with it since Week 15's Saturday night affair against the Colts. Harris will likely continue to cede some time to Rhamondre Stevenson and will be dependent on game script -- with a high upside if he has it -- in DFS.
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
The Buffalo News' Harry Scull, Jr. said the Bills have increased their use of a sixth offensive lineman. The team's pass fell over the season's final month as the Bills were seemingly determined to generate a rushing attack to complement the team's productive passing offense. Against the Jets in Week 18, the Bills used a sixth offensive lineman on a season-high 15 plays. “That’s what you need,” Bills head coach Sean McDermott said. “That’s why it’s important to be two-dimensional or the threat of two dimensions on offense, running and passing.” Devin Singletary, taking 58 percent of the team's carries in the regular season's final month, has been the main beneficiary of a more balanced Buffalo offense. Josh Allen's rushing production has seen an uptick too; he's averaged 9.6 rushes per game since Week 14, up from 6.25 carries per game from Week 1-13. In Saturday night's Wild Card game, look for the Bills to establish the run against a New England defense that's more beatable on the ground than it is through the air.
NFL Wild Card Weekend Betting Prediction
The Patriots are 15-3 against the spread in their last 18 games in Buffalo, while the underdog is 5-1-1 against the number in the last seven meetings between these two teams and the road side is 19-6-2 at the betting window in the last 27 meetings between these two teams. The Patriots are 4-1 against the spread in their last five playoff road games, are 8-3 against the number in their last 11 games overall and are 24-7 at the betting window in the last 31 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Bills, meanwhile, are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win of more than 14 points.
NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND BETTING PREDICTIONS: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +4.5