Texans vs. Chiefs Betting Trends
What do the historical betting trends suggest about Sunday’s AFC Divisional round playoff matchup between the Texans and Chiefs? There are intriguing tidbits on both sides, including specific trends for Deshaun Watson and Andy Reid.
305 Houston Texans (+10) at 306 Kansas City Chiefs (-10); o/u 51.5
3:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 12, 2020
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chiefs are receiving 59% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
The Texans quarterback is 13-4 against the spread in his career as an underdog and is 10-8 outright as an underdog in his career. According to ESPN Stats & Information, Sunday will be the second-most points Watson has ever been an underdog by in his career. In his 39 total starts, he’s only lost by double digits three times, including only once as an underdog.
The Chiefs head coach has been incredible for bettors off a bye, cashing in 18 of his 27 times off a bye week in his career, which includes playoffs. Reid’s teams are also 22-5 outright off a bye over that same 27-game sample size, again, including playoffs.
While the under was 4-1-1 in the Chiefs’ last six games (all wins both straight up and against the spread), the over is 7-3 in Patrick Mahomes’ starts when the total is 50 or higher. As of this writing, the over/under for Sunday’s matchup is sitting at 51.5.
The Chiefs are 3-8 all-time at home in the postseason and just 1-10 against the spread. They were favored in all of those games but one, although the only cover in that 1-10 record came a year ago when they beat the Colts in the Divisional round.
The Texans are 5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight road games and are 5-2 against the number in their last seven games as a road underdog. The road teams is also 6-1 against the number in the last seven meetings between these two teams, including in Week 6 of this year. Houston beat Kansas City as a 3.5-point road underdog in that matchup. The road teams are just 3-10 straight up and against the spread in postseason rematches, however.