Seahawks vs. Packers Spread Prediction
The Seahawks are coming off a road win in Philadelphia Wildcard Weekend but are a 4-point underdog on Sunday night in Green Bay, where they’ll take on the Packers in the NFL Divisional round. Is Russell Wilson and Co. too good to pass on as an underdog?
307 Seattle Seahawks (+4) at 308 Green Bay Packers (-4); o/u 45.5
6:40 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 12, 2020
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Seahawks are receiving 55% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Seattle Seahawks Fantasy Spin
Russell Wilson completed 18-of-30 passes for 325 yards and one touchdown in Seattle's Wild Card win over the Eagles. He also scrambled nine times for a team-high 45 yards on the ground. The Eagles fought valiantly after losing Carson Wentz to a head injury in the first quarter but ultimately came up short due in part to D.K. Metcalf (7/160/1) scorching their secondary with ease for a 53-yard touchdown in the third quarter and game-clinching 36-yard grab to ice the game on the final play. Wilson was forced into numerous 3rd-and-long scenarios (without three starting linemen) due to poor early-down coaching but still escaped averaging 10.8 yards per attempt, gashing Philadelphia in particular by going 8-of-15 on third down. Next up for the Seahawks is a trip to Green Bay to take on the Packers in the Divisional Round.
Green Bay Packers Fantasy Spin
Aaron Rodgers completed 27-of-55 passes for 323 yards, two touchdowns and an interception in the Packers' 23-20, Week 17 win over the Lions. Rodgers managed to march the offense down the field on multiple occasions in the fourth quarter to rally the squad, but the effort was still largely disappointing as a whole. The veteran QB missed both Aaron Jones and Tyler Ervin for what should’ve been easy touchdowns. As has been the case for most of the season, Rodgers only truly gelled with Davante Adams, although Allen Lazard also deserves some credit for making numerous tough catches downfield. It's tough to complain too much about a season that consisted of 26 touchdowns and just four interceptions, but this marks the fifth consecutive year that Rodgers have averaged fewer than 7.5 YPA after he cleared that mark in five of six campaigns from 2009-2014. The Packers will have an extra week to get healthy thanks to their first round bye.
NFL Betting Trends
The Seahawks are 8-1 against the spread in their last nine games as a road underdog and are 11-3-1 against the number in their last 15 road games.
The Packers have covered the spread in five of their last six playoff games and have owned the Seahawks in previous meetings, posting a 4-0-1 ATS record in their last five meetings with Seattle, including 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Green Bay.
I think both of these teams are overrated, honestly. The schedule has broke right for Green Bay all season and despite Aaron Rodgers posting rather pedestrian passing numbers, the Packers were still able to win the NFC North and earn a first-round bye. That’s because Aaron Jones, Devante Adams and pass-rushers Preston Smith and Za’Darius Smith had excellent seasons. The Packers are 3-1 outright and against the spread against teams that finished with at least 10 wins this season and Rodgers is 10-5-1 against the spread in the playoffs throughout his career. As for the Seahawks, they’re receiving the majority of the public backing and I don’t love the idea taking public-backed underdogs. Seattle also remains banged up, as Pete Carroll noted left tackle Duane Brown is a game-time decision. I think the Seahawks’ injuries finally sink them.
NFL Divisional Round Playoff Prediction: Green Bay Packers -4