Colts vs. Patriots Free Pick

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FOXBORO, MA (The Spread) – Has Andrew Luck and the Colts luck run out or do they have more magic up their sleeve tonight when they visit the Patriots at 8:15PM ET?

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NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 7-point home favorites versus the Colts while the over/under total is currently sitting at 50.5 points. Indianapolis enters play with a 12-5 record overall and is 5-3 on the road this year, while New England is 12-4 overall and a perfect 8-0 at home.

Line Movement: The Patriots opened as 7-point favorites and while some books currently list the line at 7.5, most places continue to use the 7-point number. As for the total, it opened at 53 and has been bet down to 51 or 50.5 at most books.

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 57% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Colts. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

KEY NFL BETTING TRENDS: The Colts are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record and 1-4 ATS in their last five games in January. The Patriots are also 6-1 against the spread in their last seven home games, 5-1 ATS in their last six games on fieldturf and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Colts were fortunate to still win last week despite turning the ball over three times and nearly losing a Donald Brown fumble at the goal line. Unlike Bob Sutton last week for Kansas City, Bill Belichick will make the necessary adjustments throughout the game to keep Luck and the Indy offense in check.

2014 NFL PLAYOFFS FREE PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -7

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