Outback Bowl Total Prediction
Can we expect much offense when No. 12 Auburn faces off with No. 18 Minnesota in the Outback Bowl on Sunday at 1PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
265 Minnesota vs. 266 Auburn
Wednesday, January 1, 2019
1PM ET – Raymond James Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Auburn is the favorite in this game, as the Tigers are getting odds of -7 points against Minnesota. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 53.5 points. The public betting currently has 67 percent going on Auburn as the favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Gophers have 10-win season
Minnesota has lost two of its last three games, but the Golden Gophers have won 10 games this season. The Gophers are 10-2 on the season, 7-4-1 against the spread and 8-4 with the over.
The Golden Gophers have one of the stronger defenses in the nation this year, allowing just 22.4 points and 312.8 yards per game. Their passing defense gives up just 184.9 yards per game. Antoine Winfield Jr. is leading the defense with 80 tackles, seven interceptions and three sacks. Offensively, Minnesota is putting up 34.3 points and 426.8 yards per contest. Tanner Morgan has thrown for 2,975 passing yards and 28 touchdowns to lead the offense while Rashod Bateman and Tyler Johnson each have over 1,100 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns. Rodney Smith is the team’s top rusher with 1,094 yards and eight touchdowns.
Tigers top Alabama
Auburn is coming off a 48-45 win over Alabama to end its regular season. The Tigers won three of their last four games. Auburn comes into this game 9-3 on the season, 9-3 against the spread and 7-5 with the under.
The Tigers are also a really solid defense. Auburn is giving up just 18.6 points and 323.9 yards per game this season. Marlon Davidson is leading the defensive unit with 46 tackles and 7.5 sacks. However, he is questionable for the game with a back injury. Auburn has an offense that is putting up 34 points and 421.4 yards per contest. Bo Nix is leading the Auburn offense with 2,366 passing yards and 15 touchdowns while also rushing for 301 yards and seven scores. Seth Williams is the leading receiver with 55 catches for 801 yards and eight touchdowns. JaTarvious Whitlow is the top rusher with 739 yards and nine scores.
College Football Betting Trends
The Golden Gophers have hit the under in four of their last five bowl games and in seven of their last nine against a winning team.
The Tigers are 4-1-1 with the under in their last six bowl games and 5-1 with the under in their last six games on grass.
Minnesota had a great year, but we saw their struggles against good defenses when they were held under 20 points by Iowa and Wisconsin. Auburn is a team that has faced a lot of strong offenses already and a lot of physical fronts. I think the Tigers should be just fine corralling the Gophers’ offense. Minnesota has a good defense, but it will be tested by Auburn. The Tigers have been a little inconsistent offensively behind a freshman quarterback, so I think they will hit some speed bumps in this game offensively. Those speed bumps should be enough to keep the total under.
Alamo Bowl Prediction: Minnesota/Auburn Under 53.5