2016 Liberty Bowl Prediction
Even though the point spread jumped the fence, is Georgia a good play when it takes on TCU in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl at 12:00PM ET today?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Horned Frogs are now 3.5-point favorites over the Bulldogs after opening as a 1.5-point underdog when the bowl lines were first released. As for the total, the number hit the board at 49 and that’s where it currently sits at the majority of online and Vegas sports books.
GEORGIA KEY TRENDS: The Bulldogs are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games coming off a loss and are 5-2 against the number in their last seven games in December. They’ve also covered in seven of their last 10 bowl games.
TCU KEY TRENDS: The Horned Frogs have not fared well in recent bowl games, failing to cover in three of their last five bowl appearances. They’re also just 2-7 at the betting window in their last nine neutral site games, are 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games overall and are 2-6 against the number in their last eight games coming off a loss of more than 20 points. They’re 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game as well.
OUR PREDICTION: The Horned Frogs enter play today having lost four of their final six contests. This was one of Gary Patterson’s more inexperienced teams at TCU and at times, the offense was a mess due to inconsistent play at the quarterback position. Granted, Georgia can claim the same challenges in Kirby Smart’s first season, but I like siding with SEC talent over Big 12 talent in the bowls. Georgia’s defense forced 25 turnovers, which was the best mark in the SEC and ranks 18th nationally against the pass. TCU’s offense will have issues moving the ball against the No. 16 defense in the nation in terms of total yards, so I’ll take the Dawgs as a dog.
2016 AUTOZONE LIBERTY BOWL PREDICTION: GEORGIA BULLDOGS +3.5