N.C. State vs. Mississppi State Bowl Pick

Belk Bowl N.C. State vs. Mississippi State Picks & Predictions

Will N.C. State ruin Dak Prescott's final game for Mississippi State when the two teams meet in the Belk Bowl today at 3:30PM ET?

View College Football Bowl Game Odds

After opening as a 7-point favorite, the Bulldogs are now a 4.5-point favorite over the Wolfpack according to oddsmakers from online sports book Mybookie.ag. As for the total, it opened at 59 before climbing to 60.5 points.

Mississippi State enters play today with an 8-4 record and finished the season with a 7-5 mark against the spread, while N.C. State went 7-5 straight up and 6-6 against the spread. With bettors usually favoring SEC teams in bowl season, it's not surprising to see that 81% of public bettors are currently backing Mississippi State at the betting window today.

The Pick
The reverse line movement indicates that sharp action is on N.C. State. It makes no sense for over 80% of public bettors to be on Mississippi State yet the number continues to drop. There was similar movement in yesterday's bowl between North Carolina and Baylor, with the number dropping in favor of the Bears despite more wagers being placed on the Tar Heels. The line eventually climbed back up before kickoff, but Baylor still won the game outright.

It's easy to see why the majority of bettors favor Mississippi State. The Bulldogs played significantly tougher competition throughout the year, their offense boasts not only Prescott but also Fred Ross and De'Runnya Wilson, and with this being Prescott's final game motivation shouldn't be a problem.

But turnovers have been an issue for Mississippi State. They turned the ball over nine times in their final four games and their defense has had issues against the run. With this essentially being a home game for the Wolfpack, location is also working against the Bulldogs as well.

Prescott should lead Miss State to victory but N.C. State is searching for a signature win to end 2015 and has its own impressive offense. Look for the Wolfpack to keep the game close.

BELK BOWL FREE PICK: N.C. STATE WOLFPACK +4.5

Bet College Football Bowl Games

Want More From TheSpread.com? Follow us on Twitter and Facebook or Subscribe to Our News Feeds!

Recent NCAAF Discussions

Loading...

College Football Predictions

Thumbnail Tennessee vs. Florida Week 4 Prediction SEC foes will battle in the swamp on Saturday evening when No. 11 Florida hosts unranked Tennessee at 7:00 p.m. ET. Will the Gators still be licking their...
Thumbnail Rutgers vs. Michigan Week 4 Prediction Will Saturday’s Big Ten matchup between Rutgers and Michigan turn into a relatively high-scoring game between the conference foes? Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET...
Thumbnail Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Prediction A battle of AP Top-25 SEC teams will ensue on Saturday afternoon when No. 7 Texas A&M takes on No. 16 Arkansas at AT&T Stadium at 3:30 p.m. ET. Will the Razorbacks...
Thumbnail Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin Prediction Will FOX’s premium game between No. 12 Notre Dame and No. 18 Wisconsin turn into a defensive slugfest from Soldier Field in Chicago, IL on...
Thumbnail Liberty vs. Syracuse Prediction Will Syracuse avenge one of its 2020 losses on Friday night when the Orange host Liberty at 8:00 p.m. ET from the Carrier Dome? ‘Cuse is currently a home dog of over a...

NCAAF Headlines