San Diego State vs. Army Bowl Pick

Armed Forces Bowl Predictions: San Diego State vs. Army 12/23/17

Are the San Diego State Aztecs a good bet to cover the point spread today against Army in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl at 3:30 p.m. ET?

ODDSMAKERS LIKE: San Diego State. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Aztecs are 6.5-point favorites to beat the Black Knights, who opened as a 6-point underdog. The total, meanwhile, currently sits at 45.5 points after hitting the board at 50.

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THE PUBLIC LIKES: San Diego State. As of Saturday morning, 74% of betting tickets are on the Aztecs and 78% of the money is also on San Diego State.

INJURY REPORT: Rhyan England (undisclosed) is probable to play for Army, while Andrew McLean (knee) and Jalen Sharp (knee) are out for the year. On the other side, Antonio Rosales (ankle) is probable for San Diego State.

WHO WE LIKE: San Diego State. The Aztecs are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games overall, are 17-4-2 against the number in their last 23 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game, and are 4-1 at the betting window in their last five games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. San Diego State is also 14-5-1 against the spread in its last 20 games following an ATS win and is 33-16-2 against the number in its last 51 games coming off a win.

On the other side, the Black Knights have failed to cover the spread in 20 of their last 28 games following an ATS win and are 1-5 against the number in their last six games versus MWC opponents. I don't see Army moves the ball enough offensively against San Diego State's No. 14-ranked defense in the nation to hang in this game and cover the spread. In fact, I'm a little surprised that this isn't a double-digit spread.

 

LOCKHEED MARTIN ARMED FORCES BOWL: SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS -6.5

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