Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl Odds
Central Florida is 9-4 on the season and 6-7 against the spread while Ball State is 9-3 overall and 9-3 against the spread. UCF has hit the over in 10 of their 13 lined games while Ball State hit the over 6 times this season. These teams haven’t met since 2004, but Ball State has won two of its last three against UCF and covered in two straight against the Knights.
Trends show that Central Florida is 13-5 against the spread in their last 18 games after a loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Mid-American Conference opponents. Ball State is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after a win and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record.
According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, Central Florida is the favorite in this game, as the Knights have odds of -7 points against Ball State. The over/under total has been set at 61.5 points. (View Matchup) The opening odds for this bowl game had Central Florida also favored by 7 points. The spread climbed to a peak of 8.5 points before dropping back to its opening of UCF -7. The over/under total hasn’t changed since opening at 61.5 points.
Central Florida is coming off a 33-27 overtime loss to Tulsa in the Conference USA Championship Game. The Knights lost to Tulsa two times in their final three games of the season by a combined 8 points. All but one of UCF’s losses this season came by 6 points or less. The Knights averaged 35.2 points per game on offense while allowing just 22.5 points per game. The Knights have a balanced offense as quarterback Blake Bortles has thrown for 2,787 yards and 22 touchdowns and running back Latavius Murray has rushed for 1,035 yards and 14 touchdowns.
Ball State is coming into this game on a six-game winning streak to end the regular season. The Cardinals had four of those six wins come by 8 points or less. Ball State averaged 35 points per game on offense this season while giving up 31.5 points per game on defense. Similar to UCF, Ball State has a balanced offensive attack as quarterback Keith Wenning has thrown for 2,878 yards and 22 touchdowns, while running back Jahwan Edwards has rushed for 1,321 yards and 14 touchdowns.
In terms of Injuries, Ball State tight end David Schneider is questionable with a leg injury while safety Brian Jones is questionable due to an ankle injury. UCF has no injuries to report for this game.
The Public Bets for this bowl game are backing Ball State. The Cardinals are getting 63% of the wagers with odds of +7 points against Central Florida on Friday night.