Camellia Bowl Prediction

Camellia Bowl Predictions: Appalachian State vs. Toledo 12/17/16

Which 9-3 football team will come away with a win when Toledo faces Appalachian State in the Camellia Bowl at 5:30PM ET?

According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, this game is considered even, as neither team is being given any points. The over/under total for the game is listed at 60.5 points. This game is being played from the Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama and will air on ESPN. These two have no recent meetings to consider.

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A solid season ended somewhat poorly for Toledo as it lost its final game 55-35 to Western Michigan. The Rockets lost two of their last five to finish at 9-3 on the season. Toledo also failed to cover in its last two games and was just 7-5 against the spread this year. The Rockets have a very dynamic offense, as they put up 38.8 points and 529.8 yards per game. The ground game averages 200 yards as Kareem Hunt has run for 1,355 yards and eight touchdowns. The pass game also averages well over 300 yards per game. Logan Woodside has thrown for 3,882 yards and 43 touchdowns. Cody Thompson has been his top target, catching 59 passes for 1,170 yards and 10 touchdowns. Two other receivers also have at least 10 touchdowns catches. Toledo’s defense isn’t too bad, allowing 25.3 points and 394.9 yards per game. They struggle against the run, giving up 165.7 yards per game.

Appalachian State won its last two games by a large margin to finish 9-3 on the year. The Mountaineers were just 6-6 against the spread this season, failing to cover in three of their last four games. App State averages 29.1 points and 431.1 yards per game. The offense is led by its ground game, which averages 247.1 yards per game. Jalin Moore has run for 1,367 yards and 10 touchdowns while Marcus Cox had 872 yards and eight scores. Taylor Lamb has thrown for 2,162 yards and 14 touchdowns with eight interceptions. Along with a steady run game, App State has a great defense. The Mountaineers allowed just 20 points and 319 yards per game. They allowed just 192 passing yards per contest this year.

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Toledo has been pretty steady in these situations. The Rockets are 8-0-1 against the spread in their last 9 non-conference games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 against Sun Belt opponents. The Rockets have faced some solid defenses this year and still been able to move the ball. I expect more of the same against Appalachian State while the Mountaineers won’t be able to keep pace. Look for Toledo to grab the win.



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