Raycom Media Camellia Bowl Pick
Will Middle Tennessee State cover as an underdog in Saturday night's matchup with Arkansas State in the Rayom Media Camellia Bowl at 8:00 p.m. ET?
ODDSMAKERS LIKE: Arkansas State. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Red Wolves are 3.5-point favorites to beat the Blue Raiders, who also opened as 3.5-point underdogs. The total, meanwhile, is sitting at 62.5 points after hitting the board at 59.
THE PUBLIC LIKES: Arkansas State. The Red Wolves are receiving 64% of the betting tickets ahead of today's game and 73% of the money is also on Arkansas State.
HISTORICAL TRENDS LIKE: The Blue Raiders are winless at the betting window in their last four bowl games, are 0-4 against the number in their last four neutral site games, and are 0-6 against the spread in their last six games coming off a win.
On the other side, the Red Wolves have covered the spread in 14 of their last 20 games overall but are just 3-7 against the number in their last 10 conference games. Arkansas State is just 1-4 at the betting window in its last five Conference USA games as well.
WHO WE LIKE: Middle Tennessee. I realize now of the betting trends favor the Blue Raiders, who are actually just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games versus the Red Wolves. That said, Middle Tennessee has been a different team since November. The team was 3-5 heading into that month but won three of its last four games to qualify for a bowl game. They also averaged 36 points over that stretch and should have a strong fan showing tonight since this game is just four hours away from Murfreesboro. With Brent Stocksill under center, the team is 3-1 since his return from a cracked sternum and separated collarbone.
RAYCOM MEDIA CAMELLIA BOWL PREDICTION: MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS +3.5