Las Vegas Bowl Total Pick

Bowl Predictions: Boise State vs. Oregon Betting Total Set Too High? 12/13/17

Will Saturday's Las Vegas Bowl between the Boise State Broncos and Oregon Ducks at 3:30 p.m. ET fall under the betting total?

Game Info

Matchup: Boise State (10-3) vs. Oregon (7-5)

TV: ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET

Line: Oregon -7

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 59.5 after hitting the board at 61 points. The Ducks, meanwhile, are 7-point favorites to beat the Broncos, who opened as 5.5-point underdogs.

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Who is the Public Backing?

As of this writing, 54% of the betting tickets are on the Broncos to cover the spread and 61% of the money is also on Boise State to cover the number.

Key Betting Trends

The Broncos are 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game but have failed to cover in six of their last eight games played in December. The Ducks, meanwhile, are 8-17-1 at the betting window in their last 26 games overall and are 2-9-1 against the number in their last 12 games coming off a win.

OUR PREDICTION: The under is 4-1 in the Broncos' last five games versus an opponent with a winning record and is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games played in December.

The under is also 5-2 in the Ducks' last seven games overall, is 5-2 in their last seven bowl games, and is 8-2 in their last 10 games coming off a win. The under is also 4-1 in Oregon's last five games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in its previous game, is 9-3 in its last 12 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in its previous game, and is 5-2 in its last seven games following an ATS win.

 

LAS VEGAS BOWL PREDICTION: BOISE STATE/OREGON UNDER 59.5 

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