Sun Belt Championship Prediction
Is No. 21 Appalachian State going to be able to cover a touchdown spread at home when the Mountaineers face Louisiana in the Sun Belt Championship Game today at Noon ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
107 Louisiana vs. 108 Appalachian State
Saturday, December 7, 2019
Noon ET – Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Appalachian State is the slight favorite at home, as the Mountaineers are getting odds of -6.5 points against Louisiana. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 57.5 points. The public betting currently has 55 percent going on Appalachian State as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
App State wins four straight
Since a 24-21 loss at home to Georgia Southern, Appalachian State has won four straight, including a win at South Carolina. The Mountaineers are 11-1 on the season, 7-1 in the Sun Belt Conference, 8-4 against the spread and 7-5 with the under.
App State has been pretty solid on both sides of the ball. The defense is giving up just 18.8 points and 321.2 yards per game this season. Offensively, App State is putting up 38.9 points and 437.1 yards per outing. Zac Thomas is leading the offense with 2,427 passing yards and 24 touchdowns while also rushing for 387 yards and seven scores. Darrynton Evans is the top rusher with 1,250 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Corey Xavier Sutton has caught 41 passes for 601 yards and seven touchdowns. Shaun Jolly is leading the defense with 35 tackles and five interceptions.
Cajuns on fire
The UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns are rolling heading into this game. Since a 17-7 loss at home to Appalachian State on Oct. 9, the Cajuns have won six straight. They come into this game 10-2 overall, 7-1 in the Sun Belt, 9-3 against the spread and 7-5 with the under.
Louisiana is typically a pretty strong offense. The Cajuns are averaging 38.8 points and 500.3 yards per game this season with the ball. Defensively, Lafayette is giving up just 17.8 points and 369.8 yards per contest. Levi Lewis is leading the offense with 2,450 passing yards and 20 touchdowns while three different backs have over 750 yards on the ground. Elijah Mitchell is leading the way with 1,007 yards and 14 touchdowns. Ja’Marcus Bradley is the top receiver with 48 catches for 760 yards and seven scores.
College Football Betting Trends
The Mountaineers are 21-8 against the spread in their last 29 games overall and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a cover.
The Cajuns are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven road games and 4-1 ATS in their last five as an underdog.
Appalachian State has won seven straight meetings with Louisiana, covering the spread in four of the seven. All of the victories have been by at least 10 points, including this year’s win at Louisiana. With this game being at the home of the Mountaineers, I don’t see the Cajuns being able to turn the tide. Louisiana has a defense that will be competitive, but App State has the playmakers on offense to eventually break through and pull away. I realize the Cajuns are hot, but they aren’t the program that Appalachian State is.
Sun Belt Championship Prediction: Appalachian State -6.5