AAC Championship Total Pick
Will we see a similar score that we saw last week when No. 17 Memphis hosts No. 20 Cincinnati in the AAC Championship Game this Thursday at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
113 Cincinnati vs. 114 Memphis
Saturday, December 7, 2019
3:30PM ET – Liberty Bowl Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Memphis is currently listed as a 9.5-point favorite at home against Cincinnati. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 57.5 points. The public betting currently has 58 percent going on Cincinnati as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Bearcats fall to Memphis
Cincinnati suffered a 34-24 loss at Memphis last weekend in a game that didn’t mean much for the Bearcats outside of rankings. It did put an end to a 9-game win streak for Cincy. However, they are still 10-2 on the year, 7-1 in the AAC, 7-5 against the spread and 9-3 with the under.
The Bearcats have been led by their defense for most of the season, allowing just 21.1 points and 370.8 yards per game. Darrick Forrest is leading the defense with 92 tackles and three interceptions. The Cincy offense hasn’t been very overwhelming, averaging 29.4 points and 379.3 yards per outing. Desmond Ridder has thrown for 1,836 yards and 17 touchdowns this year to lead the team while also rushing for 432 yards and a score. Michael Warren II has rushed for 1,061 yards and 12 touchdowns, while Alec Pierce has 29 catches for 534 yards and two touchdowns.
Tigers win another
Memphis won its sixth straight game with last week’s 34-24 win over Cincinnati at home. The Tigers come into this game at 11-1 overall, 7-1 in the AAC, 8-4 against the spread and 8-4 with the over.
The Memphis offense has been tough for anyone in the AAC to stop this year. The Tigers are averaging 41.5 points and 483.5 yards per game. Defensively, Memphis has been pretty competitive as well. The Tigers are giving up just 24.4 points and 365.5 yards per outing. Brady White is leading the Memphis offense this year with 3,307 passing yards and 32 touchdowns. Kenneth Gainwell is the team’s top rusher with 1,381 yards and 12 touchdowns, while Damonte Coxie is the top receiver with 59 catches for 979 yards and nine touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Bearcats have hit the under in four straight conference and in five straight games on fieldturf.
The Tigers have hit the over in eight of their last 10 conference games and in seven of their last nine games as a favorite.
These two have hit the under in three of their last four meetings, mostly due to Cincinnati not being able to score enough points. Memphis has put up at least 34 in their last four against the Bearcats, including last week’s win. Cincinnati actually moved the ball pretty well at Memphis last week, just committed three turnovers to keep it from scoring more points. I think the Bearcats can stress that this week and do a better job of protecting the ball to finish drives. Memphis is going to do its part to score points. If Cincinnati can answer and keep the game close, then the over should be an easy play.
AAC Conference Championship Prediction: Cincinnati/Memphis Over 57.5