SEC Championship Game Free Pick

SEC Championship Game Florida vs. Alabama Picks & Predictions

Alabama should punch a ticket back to the college football playoffs but are the Tide laying too many points in today's SEC Championship Game?

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Bettors have been hammering the Tide all week at the betting window and now, after Alabama opened as a 12-point favorite at some spots, the line is up to 18 points according to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI. Our College Football Public Betting page shows that 69% of public bettors are currently backing the Tide, so the number could reach even higher before the 4:00PM ET kickoff.

After they scored just 2 points in an embarrassing 27-2 home loss to Florida State last Saturday night in the Swamp, I'm not going to insult anyone's intelligence by suggesting the Gators are going to somehow move the ball versus the Tide's outstanding front seven.

That said, 18 points is a lot to lay in a conference title game, especially when the team receiving those 18 points ranks fifth in the nation in yards allowed per game, is ninth in passing yards allowed, eighth in rushing yards allowed, and fifth in points allowed per contest.

Even though Florida's offense is coming off a dreadful performance, the value is on the Gators today. Perhaps the return of Demarcus Robinson, who was suspended before Florida's game last week against FSU, will spark the Gators offensively. Even if he doesn't, I like the UF defense to play inspired and keep the Gators within 17 points.

SEC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME: FLORIDA GATORS +18

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