Pac-12 Championship Total Pick
Can we expect a lot of defensive stops in the Pac-12 Championship Game this Friday night when No. 5 Utah takes on No. 13 Oregon at 8PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
103 Oregon vs. 104 Utah
Friday, December 6, 2019
8PM ET – Levi’s Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Utah is favored in this game, as the Utes are getting odds of -6.5 points against the Ducks. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 47.5 points. The public betting currently has 66 percent going on Utah as the favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Utes looking at playoff spot
Utah is currently riding an 8-game win streak following a 45-15 victory over Colorado last weekend at home. The Utes are fifth in the latest playoff rankings and could find themselves in the top four with a win. Utah is 11-1 on the season, 8-1 in the Pac-12, 9-3 against the spread and 8-3-1 with the under.
The Utes have had one of the best defenses in the country all nation. They rank third in points allowed (11.2 ppg) and yards allowed (241.8 ypg), while sitting tops in rushing defense by allowing only 56.4 yards per game. Bradlee Anae is leading the defense with 33 tackles and 12.5 sacks. Offensively, Utah is putting up 35.6 points and 453.6 yards per contest. Tyler Huntley has thrown for 2,773 yards and 16 touchdowns this year while also rushing for 255 yards and five scores. Zack Moss is the team’s leading rusher with 1,246 yards and 15 scores while Brant Kuithe is the leading receiver with 29 catches for 550 yards and six scores.
Ducks looking to play spoiler
Oregon is out of the playoff mix after a 31-28 loss at Arizona State two weeks ago, but the Ducks did pick up a 24-10 win over Oregon State last weekend to bounce back. The Ducks are 10-2 on the season, 8-1 in Pac-12 play, 6-6 against the spread and 7-5 with the under.
The Ducks have been pretty solid on defense as well, allowing just 15.8 points and 332.9 yards per game. Jevon Holland has been leading the defense with 54 tackles and four interceptions. Offensively, Oregon is putting up 35.8 points and 455.1 yards per contest. Justin Herbert is leading the Ducks this year with 3,140 passing yards and 31 touchdowns with just five interceptions while CJ Verdell is the team’s leading rusher with 963 yards and five scores. Johnny Johnson III is the team’s leading receiver with 49 catches for 731 yards and six scores.
College Football Betting Trends
The Utes have hit the under in four straight Friday games and they are 8-2-1 with the under in their last 11 conference games.
The Ducks have hit the over four of their last five games following a win and in six of their last nine Friday games.
These two didn’t meet this season, but the over has been the play when they do collide. They have hit the over in six of their last seven encounters. However, I think the under will hit on Friday night. Both teams are going to rely on defense to win this game and Utah’s defense is legit. Oregon is going to have trouble running the ball, which will limit just how much Herbert is able to do through the air. Utah has some good offense numbers in recent weeks, but I think the Utes also will struggle with the Oregon defense and the pressure that comes with being in the position they are in. I don’t expect a really impressive offensive game in this one.
Pac-12 Championship Prediction: Utah/Oregon Under 47.5