Mountain West Title Game Prediction

Fresno State vs. Boise State Mountain West Championship Predictions 12/2/17

One week after beating Boise State, will Fresno State cover as a sizable underdog in the Mountain West Championship Game tonight at 7:45 p.m. ET?

ODDSMAKERS LIKE: Boise State. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Broncos are 9-point home favorites to beat the Bulldogs, who opened as 9.5-point underdogs. The total, meanwhile, hit the board at 48 before jumping to 51.

Bet the SEC Championship Gameball Week 13 Games

THE PUBLIC LIKES: Fresno State. As of Saturday morning, just over 60% of the betting tickets were on the Bulldogs to cover the spread as an underodg.

HISTORICAL TRENDS LIKE: Boise State. The underdog is a perfect 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings between these two teams but the Bulldogs are 4-12 against the number in their last 16 games versus the Broncos. Fresno State has also failed to cash in six of its last eight trips to Boise.

WHO WE LIKE: Fresno State. Boise State had nothing to play for last week and clearly went with a vanilla game plan given that this is the game both teams want to win. That said, that same logic can be applied to the Bulldogs, right? It's not as if Fresno State threw the kitchen sink at Boise a week ago with the Mountain West title on the line tonight.

I don't understand while the Bulldogs are dogs (no pun intended) by nearly double-digits. Fresno is a near-perfect 5-0-1 against the spread in its last six road games, is 12-3-1 against the number in its last 16 games played on fieldturf and is 15-5-1 at the betting window its last 21 conference games. The Bulldogs have been a great bet all season and I don't see that changing tonight.

Will the Bulldogs win? Maybe not. It's difficult to win on that blue turf in Boise. But nearly 10 points in a title game? I'll take the dog that plays excellent defense (17.2 points per game).

 

MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME PREDICTION: FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS +9 

Loading...

College Football Predictions

Thumbnail Maryland vs. Illinois Prediction The total in Friday night’s Big Ten matchup has moved from 59.5 up to 61.5 but is the over the best bet when Maryland takes on Illinois at...
Thumbnail UCF vs. Louisville Prediction The UCF Knights will attempt to improve to 3-0 on the season when they take on Louisville tonight at Cardinal Stadium at 6:30 p.m. ET. With the total sitting at 67, is...
Thumbnail Stanford vs. USC Prediction No. 14 USC will open its Pac-12 schedule at home on Saturday night when the Trojans host Stanford at 10:30 p.m. ET. Will the Trojans cover as a 17-point home favorite or is...
Thumbnail Texas vs. Arkansas Prediction No. 15 Texas will attempt to improve to 2-0 with a victory over Arkansas at Razorback Stadium on Saturday night. Listed as a 7-point road favorite, will the Longhorns cover...
Thumbnail Iowa vs. Iowa State Prediction One of the biggest non-conference matchups in Week 2 of the college football season will take place at Jack Trice Stadium at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday when No. 9 Iowa...

NCAAF Headlines