Texas Tech vs. Texas Prediction
Is Texas giving up too many points at home when the Longhorns play host to Texas Tech today at Noon ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
321 Texas Tech vs. 322 Texas
Friday, November 29, 2019
Noon ET – Royal Texas Memorial Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Texas is the clear favorite at home, as the Longhorns are getting odds of -10 points against Texas Tech. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 64.5 points. The public betting currently has 69 percent going on Texas Tech as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Texas looking to avoid .500 season
It’s been a disappointing season for the Longhorns, as they have lost three of their last four games, including a 24-10 loss at Baylor last weekend. Texas is now 6-5 on the season, 4-4 in the Big 12, 5-6 against the spread and 6-5 with the over.
Texas has a pretty good offense that is putting up 33.7 points and 456 yards per game. Defensively, the Longhorns are giving up 29.4 points and 444.1 yards per game. Sam Ehlinger is leading the team with 3,114 passing yards and 27 touchdowns, while also rushing for 507 yards and five scores. Keaontay Ingram is the leading rusher with 728 yards and six scores, while Devin Duvernay is the leading receiver with 97 catches for 1,095 yards and seven touchdowns. Both Ingram and Duvernay are questionable for this game due to leg injuries.
Tech out of bowl contention
Texas Tech has lost five of its last six games, including a 30-27 loss at home to Kansas State this past weekend. The Red Raiders are now 4-7 on the season, 2-6 in the Big 12, 6-4-1 against the spread and 5-4-2 with the over.
Tech has one of the worst defenses in the country, allowing 28.6 points and 468.9 yards per game. Their pass defense is allowing over 300 yards per contest. Offensively, Tech remains pretty solid. The Raiders put up 31.1 points and 474 yards per game, including over 316 yards per contest through the air. Jett Duffey is leading the way with 2,441 passing yards and 16 touchdowns while also throwing for 226 yards and a score. R.J. Turner is the leading receiver with 41 catches for 619 yards and three scores, while SaRodorick Thompson is the leading rusher with 679 yards and 11 touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Longhorns are 4-9-1 against the spread in their last 14 games in November and 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
The Red Raiders are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven road games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a loss.
The road team has won and covered the spread in five straight in this series. These games have been largely competitive, with the last four decided by seven points or less. The Longhorns have been winning at home, but not exactly pulling away. They won by just three against Kansas State and two against Kansas. The Texas defense is a liability and Texas Tech is likely to be able to expose that in this game. I think it’s going to be another Texas/Texas Tech shootout that will remain close.
College Football Week 14 Prediction: Texas Tech +10