Florida State vs. Florida Total Pick
Can we expect a lot of points when in-state rivals collide on Saturday at 7:30PM ET when No. 11 Florida hosts Florida State?
Game Snapshot & Odds
427 Florida State vs. 428 Florida
Saturday, November 30, 2019
7:30PM ET – Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
TV: SEC Network
Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NCAAF Odds & Betting Page.
Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Florida is the heavy favorite at home, as the Gators are getting odds of -18 points against Florida State. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 54 points. The public betting currently has 63 percent going on Florida as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Seminoles win two straight
Florida State is coming off a 49-12 win at home over Alabama State two weeks ago for a second straight victory. The Seminoles are 6-5 on the season, 4-6-1 against the spread and 6-5 with the under.
FSU has been middle of the road on both offense and defense. The defense is giving up 27.5 points and 433.2 yards per game. Offensively, Florida State is putting up 30.2 points and 417.1 yards per contest. James Blackman has thrown for 1,945 passing yards and 16 touchdowns to lead the offense while Cam Akers has rushed for 1,042 yards and 13 touchdowns. Tamorrion Terry is leading the receivers with 44 catches for 892 yards and eight scores.
Florida wins two straight as well
The Florida Gators are coming off a 23-6 win at Missouri two weeks ago and Florida has won its last two since a 7-point loss against Georgia. The Gators are now 9-2 on the season, 7-4 against the spread and 7-4 with the under.
The Gators are strong defensively, allowing just 14.2 points and 306.3 yards per contest. Offensively, Florida is putting up 32.4 points and 416.7 yards per game. Kyle Trask has been leading the Florida offense with 2,293 yards and 21 touchdowns. Lamical Perine is the leading rusher with 520 yards and four scores, while Kyle Pitts is the top receiver with 46 catches for 566 yards and five touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Seminoles have hit the under in five of their last six games on grass, but are 6-2 with the over in their last eight road games.
The Gators are 6-1 with the under in their last seven home games and in 21 of their last 28 against ACC opponents.
These two have hit the over in their last two meetings, but I think the under is going to be the play this week. The Gators have held even strong offensive teams in check and I don’t consider FSU to be a great offense. The Gators also aren’t a great offense in their own right. While I wouldn’t be intimidated by the Florida State defense, the Florida offense isn’t a group that is typically going to really overwhelm anyone. The Gators have lacked much in playmakers and breakout plays.
College Football Week 14 Prediction: Florida State/Florida Under 54