CUSA Championship Total Prediction
The UAB Blazers and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will meet this Saturday for the Conference USA Championship Game at 1:30 p.m. ET. Will the game turn into a defensive struggle or will these programs generate enough points to push the score over the total?
307 UAB Blazers at 308 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
1:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, December 1, 2018
Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, Tennessee
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Blue Raiders are 1.5-point favorites to beat the Blazers. The total, meanwhile, sits at 45 points. As of this writing, 68% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Blue Raiders.
UAB redshirt senior QB A.J. Erdely completed just 9-of-20 passes for 90 yards with an interception in a 27-3 loss to Middle Tennessee on Saturday. Yikes. Erdely was awful on Saturday, although you have to give a lot of credit to the MTSU defense. He also had negative 48 yards rushing, as he was consistently under pressure, and had to throw several passes away. Still, an ugly effort. Luckily for UAB, this game meant nothing in the grand scheme of things. They'll have a rematch next week with MTSU for the conference championship.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee senior QB Brent Stockstill threw for 261 yards and two touchdowns on 22-for-29 passing in a 27-3 rout of UAB on Saturday. The win gives the Blue Raiders the Conference USA East title, and sets up a rematch against UAB in the title game next week. Stockstill was superb against the Blazers on Saturday, throwing (almost) everything on time and accurately while picking up his 25th and 26th touchdown, respectively. IF Stockstill plays like this again next weekend, the Blue Raiders have an excellent chance of coming away with the Conference USA belt.
The under is 4-1 in the Blazers’ last five games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
The over is 6-1-1 in the Blazers’ last eight games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
The under is a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two teams and should cash again for bettors this weekend. UAB has been a profitable under team all season, with the under hitting in 12 of its last 15 conference games, in 16 of its last 21 games overall, and in nine of its last 11 road games. With Ederly struggling, the Blazers won’t be able to score enough to contribute to the over hitting.
Sun Belt Championship Game Prediction: UAB/Middle Tennessee under 45