Ole Miss vs. Mississippi St. Total Pick
Can we expect many points in the battle of Mississippi when Mississippi State plays host to Ole Miss on Thursday night at 7:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
311 Ole Miss vs. 312 Mississippi State
Thursday, November 28, 2019
7:30PM ET – Davis Wade Stadium
TV: ESPN
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Mississippi State is the slight favorite in this game, as the Bulldogs are getting odds of -2.5 points against Ole Miss on Thursday. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 58 points. The public betting currently has 69 percent going on Ole Miss as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Rebels can’t get on track
Ole Miss has dropped four of its last five games following a 58-37 loss at home to LSU back on Nov. 16. The Rebels are now 4-7 on the season, 2-5 in the SEC, 7-4 against the spread and 6-5 with the under.
The Rebels are not too bad offensively thanks to a great rushing attack. They are averaging 27.2 points and 450.9 yards per game while putting up 261.5 yards per game on the ground. Defensively, Ole Miss is giving up 27 points and 426.4 yards per game. John Rhys Plumlee is leading the offense with 989 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns while throwing for 789 yards and four scores. Matt Corral is also used in the passing game. He has thrown for 1,238 yards and five scores. Jerrio Ealy has rushed for 640 yards and five scores this year to add to the offense while Elijah Moore has 64 receptions for 815 yards and five touchdowns.
Bulldogs trying to finish strong
Mississippi State has a short week, as they hosted Abilene Christian last weekend and earned a 45-7 victory. The Bulldogs are looking to win three of their last four games to become bowl eligible. Mississippi State is 5-6 on the year, 2-5 in the SEC, 4-7 against the spread and 6-5 with the over.
The Bulldogs have been middle of the road on both sides of the ball. Mississippi State is putting up 28.2 points and 410.6 yards per game on offense, while the defense is giving up 28.8 points and 390.6 yards per contest. The team has been working with two quarterbacks as of late in Garrett Shrader and Tommy Stevens. The two have combined for just under 2,000 yards and 17 touchdowns. Shrader also has rushed for 568 yards while Stevens has 310 yards on the ground. Kylin Hill is the leader of the offense with 1,215 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. Osirus Mitchell is the team’s leading receiver with 27 catches for 383 yards and five scores.
College Football Betting Trends
Ole Miss
The Rebels have hit the under in five of their last six games in November and in four of their last five on grass.
Mississippi State
The Bulldogs have hit the under in four straight home games and in seven of their last nine games in November.
Prediction:
These two have hit the under in their last two meetings and in seven of their last nine encounters. The road team has actually been able to dictate the game, but getting to 58 points has been pretty common. They have scored at least 58 in four of their last five encounters. Both teams haven’t had much trouble scoring against poor defensive teams. They have been shut down by great defenses, but are usually able to get some explosive plays against average teams. I like them to both be able to find some points in this game in a bit of a shootout.
College Football Week14 Prediction: Ole Miss/Mississippi State Over 58