Florida State vs. Florida Prediction
Will the Florida Gators cover the spread as a home underdog Saturday afternoon when they host their in-state rivals the Florida State Seminoles at 12:00 p.m. ET?
ODDSMAKERS LIKE: Florida State. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Seminoles are 5.5-point road favorites to beat the Gators, who opened as 3.5-point home underdogs before the line moved two full points. As for the total, the number hit the board at 44 and that's where it currently sits.
THE PUBLIC LIKES: Florida State. As of Saturday morning, 63% of betting tickets were on the Seminoles minus the points.
HISTORICAL TRENDS LIKE: Florida State and the under. The road team has covered in five of the last six meetings between these two teams while the favorite is 8-2 at the betting window in the last 10 meetings. The Seminoles are also 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games versus the Gators overall. Meanwhile, the under is a perfect 6-0 in the last six meetings between these two teams in Gainesville and is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings overall.
WHO WE LIKE: Florida. Actually, I don't like either of these teams but if you're going to give me 5.5 points with a home team coming off a win and playing an opponent that has been horrendous against the spread then I'll take it.
Florida State is just 1-7-2 against the spread in its last 10 games and is 0-2-2 at the betting window in its last four road games. The Seminoles are just 1-6-1 against the spread in their last eight games played on grass and are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Florida has stunk too but the Gators do fare well at the betting window against opponents with losing records, covering in nine of those 13 situations.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 13 PICK: FLORIDA GATORS +5.5