Boise State vs. Air Force Prediction

College Football Boise State vs. Air Force Week 12 Predictions 11/25/16

Will Air Force hang with Boise State as a sizable home underdog when the two teams meet today at 3:30PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Falcons are 9-point home underdogs versus the Broncos while the over/under currently sits at 64 points. While the point spread has climbed from 8 to 9, the total opened at 65.5 before dropping to 64.

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BOISE STATE KEY TRENDS: The Broncos are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight road games but are just 1-5 at the betting window in their last six games overall. They're also 1-4 against the number in their last five conference games and have failed to cover the number in six of their last seven games against an opponent that owns a winning record.

AIR FORCE KEY TRENDS: The Falcons are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four home games versus a team with a winning road record and are 14-6 against the number in their last 20 games coming off a win. They're also 11-5 against the spread in their last 16 games versus an opponent that has a winning record but they have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games overall. They're also winless at 0-6 ATS in their last six conference games.

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OUR PREDICTION: Boise State has struggled versus Air Force's option attack, as the Falcons have won two of the last four meetings (the last two) between these two teams. In fact, the Broncos are winless at 0-4 against the spread in their last four games versus the Falcons, who are 6-2 at the betting window the last six times they've been an underdog of at least six points. Boise is also just 2-5 against the spread in its last seven games after scoring more than 40 points in its previous game, while Air Force is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in its previous game.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 12 PICK: AIR FORCE FALCONS +9

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