Duke vs. Miami Pick
Will Miami have a hard time moving the ball against Duke on Saturday, or will this be a high-scoring contest?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Miami is favored at home in this game, as the Hurricanes are getting odds of -15 points against Duke. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 52 points. Miami has won nine of the last 10 meetings with Duke and the two have hit the over in four of the last five meetings.
Miami has won three straight entering this week, including a 27-13 win at N.C. State last week. The Hurricanes are 7-4 on the season, 4-3 in the ACC and 6-5 with the under. They have hit the under in five of their last seven games, including two straight. The Canes are giving up just 18.7 points and 351.6 yards per game. Offensively, Miami is putting up 34.1 points and 418.7 yards per game. They have a pretty good balance as Brad Kaaya has thrown for 2,854 yards and 19 touchdowns while Mark Walton has rushed for 1,005 yards and 14 touchdowns.
Duke is coming off a 56-14 loss at Pittsburgh last week to fall to 4-7 on the season and 1-6 in the ACC. The Blue Devils are 8-3 with the under this season, but have hit the over in two of their last four games. Duke doesn’t have much of an offense, as the team averages 23.5 points and 393.2 yards per game. However, the defense is respectable, allowing just 27.1 points and 400.7 yards per game. Daniel Jones has thrown for 2,520 yards and 13 touchdowns with nine interceptions. He also has run for 471 yards and seven touchdowns. Shaun Wilson is the leading rusher with 567 yards and four scores.
Miami has been rolling lately, more so because of its defense. They have held N.C. State and Virginia to 14 points or less in back-to-back games. Duke continues to be a mess on offense, as it has been held to 21 points or less in five of its last seven. The Blue Devils can make enough plays against this average Miami offense to keep the scoring somewhat low while the Hurricanes will definitely keep Duke in check.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 13 PICK: DUKE/MIAMI UNDER 52