Florida vs. Florida State Pick

Will Florida vs. Florida State be a defensive struggle? 11/26/16

Will the under cash when in-state rivals Florida and Florida State battle at 8:00PM ET on Saturday?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Seminoles are now 7.5-point home favorites versus the Gators after opening as a 5-point favorite. As for the total, the number opened at 45 before jumping to 45.5 at the majority of sports books.

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The Gators are coming off back-to-back wins and are now 8-2 on the year. Their latest victory came as a 14-point underdog at Florida State in which the Gators' defense was outstanding in the red zone and came up with a goal-line stand to help secure the victory. Even though Florida covered easily in that game, the Gators are still just 4-5-1 against the spread this season and are 2-3 ATS on the road.

The Seminoles have won three straight games since losing a heartbreaker to Clemson four weeks ago. Their latest victory came in a 45-14 win at Syracuse in which Florida State covered as a 23-point road favorite. Florida State has now covered in three of its last four games, with its lone failed cover coming at N.C. State when the Seminoles won 24-20 but did cover as a 6.5-point favorite.

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OUR PREDICTION: The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams in Tallahassee and is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings overall. The under has also cashed in five of the Seminoles' last seven games overall and is 8-1 in their last nine games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. On the other side, the under is 4-0 in the Gators' last four games overall, is 4-0 in their last four road games and is 17-4 in their last 21 games versus the ACC. With Florida's penchant for playing excellent defense but lackluster offense, the under should cash in yet another one of its games on Saturday.




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