Texas vs. Baylor Prediction
After taking its first loss last week against Oklahoma, will the defeat linger for No. 14 Baylor when the Bears host Texas today at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
177 Texas vs. 178 Baylor
Saturday, November 23, 2019
3:30PM ET – McLane Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Baylor is favored at home, as the Bears are getting odds of -6 points against Texas. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 58.5 points. The public betting currently has 55 percent going on Texas as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Baylor edged by Sooners
The Baylor Bears are coming off their first loss of the season last week, 34-31 at home against Oklahoma. The loss drops the Bears to 9-1 on the season and 6-1 in the Big 12. Baylor is also 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 with the over/under total.
Baylor has been pretty steady on both sides of the ball this season. The Bears are allowing just 20.5 points and 356.2 yards per game on defense while putting up 34.9 points and 444.3 yards per game on offense. Charlie Brewer is leading the team with 2,532 passing yards and 18 touchdowns while also rushing for 276 yards and nine scores. Denzel Mims is his leading receiver with 50 catches for 767 yards and 10 touchdowns. John Lovett is the team’s leading rusher with 537 yards and four scores. James Lynch is leading the defense with 30 tackles and 8.5 sacks.
Texas can’t get on track
The Texas Longhorns have alternated wins and losses over their last six games and are coming off a 23-21 loss at Iowa State last weekend. Texas is now 6-4 on the season, 4-3 in the Big 12, 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 with the over.
The big issue for Texas this season has been its defense. The Longhorns are giving up 29.9 points and 449.4 yards per game. Offensively, Texas is putting up 36.1 points and 462.5 yards per contest. Sam Ehlinger is leading the offense this season with 2,914 passing yards and 27 touchdowns while also rushing for 428 yards and five scores. Keaontay Ingram is the leading rusher with 642 yards and six scores while Devin Duvernay is the top receive with 87 catches for 1,017 yards and seven touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
Baylor is 7-1 against the spread in its last eight against a winning team and 6-1 ATS in its last seven games in November.
The Longhorns are 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
Texas has won four straight in this series and covered in three of the last four, but I like the Bears this time around. I don’t think the loss to Oklahoma will linger on. I think the way the Bears played in the first half should let them know they can compete with the best as long as they don’t take their foot off the gas. Texas has an awful defense that anyone can score on, so Baylor shouldn’t have problems finding points. The key will be for Baylor to stop the Texas offense from time-to-time. I think that happens, as the Longhorns have been held to 27 or less in their last two road games.
College Football Week 13 Prediction: Baylor -6