Penn State vs. Ohio State Prediction
Will No. 2 Ohio State continue to dominate when the Buckeyes host No. 8 Penn State this afternoon at Noon ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
211 Penn State vs. 212 Ohio State
Saturday, November 23, 2019
Noon ET – Ohio Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Ohio State is the clear favorite in this game, as the Buckeyes are getting odds of -18.5 points against Penn State. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 56 points. The public betting currently has 63 percent going on Ohio State as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Ohio State looking unstoppable
Ohio State took the foot off the gas pedal a little last week in a 56-21 win over Rutgers. The Buckeyes were a 52-point favorite going in and failed to cover for just the second time this season. Ohio State is 10-0 overall, 7-0 in the Big Ten, 8-2 against the spread and 5-4 with the over.
The Buckeyes lead the nation in both scoring offense and scoring defense. The offense is putting up 51.5 points and 542.4 yards per game while the defense is allowing just 9.8 points and 216.8 yards per game. The defense gets stud defensive end Chase Young back today after he sat out two games for a suspension. Young has 29 tackles with 13.5 sacks this season. J.K. Dobbins is leading the offense with 1,289 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns while Master Teague III has 744 rushing yards. Justin Fields has thrown for 2,164 yards and 31 touchdowns with just one interception, while also rushing for 377 yards and 10 scores.
Penn State looking for the upset
The Penn State Nittany Lions are still in the Big Ten chase and can go a long way to get the title with a win on Saturday. PSU is coming off a 34-27 win at home over Indiana last week to move to 9-1 on the season and 6-1 in the Big Ten. The Nittany Lions are also 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 with the over/under total.
Penn State is led this season by its defense that is allowing just 13.5 points and 316.6 yards per game. Offensively, PSU is putting up 36.8 points and 428.4 yards per game. Sean Clifford has thrown for 2,450 yards and 22 touchdowns and six interceptions while also rushing for 374 yards and five scores. He could be without a key piece to the offense in KJ Hamler, who is questionable to play today due to an upper body injury. Hamler has caught 46 passes for 791 yards and eight touchdowns and is also the team’s dynamic return man. Journey Brown leads Penn State on the ground with 521 yards and six touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Buckeyes have covered the spread in nine straight against winning teams and in eight of their last nine Big Ten games.
The Nittany Lions are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games following a failed cover, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November.
Penn State has been a problem for Ohio State in terms of covers in the past. The Nittany Lions have covered in three straight and four of the last five in this series. Despite that, I think Ohio State is far too talented for anyone in the Big Ten, especially at home. The Buckeyes defeated Wisconsin by 31 at home and have won every game on their home turf by at least 24 points. Penn State’s offense is likely to struggle against this Ohio State defense and the Buckeyes haven’t found a defense that can stop their offense.
College Football Week 13 Prediction: Ohio State -18.5