Boise State vs. Air Force Pick
Will both offenses get rolling when Air Force hosts Boise State at 3:30PM ET this Friday?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Falcons are now 9-point home underdogs versus the Broncos after opening as an 8-point dog. As for the total, the number opened at 65.5 and has been bet down a full point-and-a-half to 64.
Boise State continues to roll but it has not been a great play at the betting window over the past two months. With their 42-25 win over UNLV last week, the Broncos are now 10-1 on the year but they're just 3-8 against the spread. In their last six games, they've only covered the spread once, which came at Hawaii in a 52-16 win as a 21.5-point road underdog. They failed to cover last week at home as a 28.5-point favorite.
It's been the same story for Air Force, which has won four-straight games but has failed to cover the spread in seven of its 13 games this season. In fact, after rattling off three straight covers to start the year, the Falcons have failed to win at the window in six of their last seven games. Their lone cover over that span came at Army in a 31-12 win as a 1-point underdog. Last week they edged San Jose State 41-38 but didn't come close to covering as an 11.5-point road favorite.
OUR PREDICTION: Offense shouldn't be a problem on Friday, as the over has cashed in 35 of the Broncos' last 52 road games. The over is also 7-0 in Boise State's last seven games played on Friday, is 16-5 in the Broncos' last 21 games in November, and is 23-9 in their last 32 games coming off a failed cover. The over is also 6-1 in the Falcons' last seven games, is 4-1 in their last five home games, and is 8-1 in their last nine games when they fail to cover in their previous game as well.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 12 PICK: BOISE STATE/AIR FORCE OVER 64