LSU vs. Texas A&M Pick

Will defense dominant Thursday night between LSU & Texas A&M? 11/24/16

Will defense dominant on Thanksgiving night when Texas A&M hosts LSU at 7:30PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Tigers are now 5-point road favorites versus the Aggies while the over/under currently sits at 45 points. Both the spread and total have moved, as LSU has gone from -4 to -5, and the total has gone from 43 up to 45.

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LSU lost its fourth game of the season last week when a banged-up Florida team marched in Baton Rouge and beat the Tigers 16-10 as a 14-point underdog. The loss puts LSU at 6-4 straight up and just 4-6 against the spread. The Tigers have now failed to cover at the betting window in two of their last three games, although the one successful cover came on the road in a 38-10 win at Arkansas as a 9.5-point favorite.

Texas A&M rebounded from back-to-back losses to Mississippi State and Ole Miss with an uninspiring 23-10 victory against Texas San Antonio last Saturday. The Aggies were a 27-point home favorite, so they came nowhere close to covering. Kevin Sumlin's squad is now 8-3 on the year but just 4-7 at the betting window. They have failed to cover the spread in seven consecutive games.

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OUR PREDICTION: This is going to be a defensive struggle throughout because neither team can throw the ball with any kind of efficiency right now. The under is a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two teams and is 15-5-1 in the Aggies' last 21 games overall. The under is also 6-2-1 in Texas A&M's last nine home games, is 7-3 in its last 10 conference games, and is 7-1 in its last eight games played in November. On the other side, the under is 7-1-2 in LSU's last 10 games overall and is 9-1 in its last 10 games in November.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 12 PICK: TEXAS A&M/LSU UNDER 45

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