Arkansas vs. LSU Total Pick
Will No. 1 LSU keep its offensive dominance going this weekend when the Tigers play host to struggling Arkansas on Saturday at 7PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
197 Arkansas vs. 198 LSU
Saturday, November 23, 2019
7PM ET – Tiger Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, LSU is the heavy favorite at home in this one, as the Tigers are getting odds of -43.5 points against Arkansas. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 69 points. The public betting currently has 56 percent going on Arkansas as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Arkansas drowning in the SEC
Arkansas is coming off a 45-19 loss at home to Western Kentucky two weeks ago and the Razorbacks are winless in the SEC. That led the university to fire coach Chad Morris a week ago and search for his permanent replacement. Arkansas comes into this game 2-8 on the season, 0-6 in the SEC, 2-8 against the spread and 6-4 with the under.
The Razorbacks are averaging just 22.3 points and 353.6 yards per game on offense this season while giving up 36.2 points and 447.3 yards per game on defense. The team is being led this year by Rakeem Boyd, who has rushed for 1,005 yards and eight touchdowns. John Stephen Jones was named starting QB a few weeks ago, but he is just 13 of 26 passing for 101 yards this year. Cheyenne O’Grady is the top receiver with 33 catches for 372 yards and three touchdowns.
LSU dominates again
The LSU Tigers continued their unbeaten season last weekend with a 58-37 win at Ole Miss in a potential trap game following a win at Alabama. LSU is 10-0 on the season, 6-0 in the SEC, 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 with the over.
LSU has the nation’s second-ranked offense, averaging 47.8 points and 556.3 yards per game this season. Defensively, the Tigers are allowing just 23.8 points and 368.7 yards per contest. Joe Burrow is one of the Heisman frontrunners right now as he has thrown for 3,687 yards and 38 touchdowns with just six interceptions. He has a pair of 1,000-yard receivers in Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson. The two have combined for 24 touchdowns as well. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is the leading receiver with 958 yards and 12 touchdowns. Edwards-Helaire is listed as questionable for this game due to an undisclosed injury.
College Football Betting Trends
The Razorbacks have hit the under in four straight road games and in six of their last seven road games against a team with a winning home record.
The Tigers are 9-3-1 with the over in their last 13 games overall and in five of their last seven conference games.
These two have hit the under in four of their last five meetings, but LSU is on another planet offensively this season. The Tigers have scored more than 40 points in eight of their 10 games this season. I would expect more of the same this week at home. The question of the game will be how many points will the Tigers give up to Arkansas. The Razorbacks have struggled to score on most everyone, even bad defensive teams. They have an inexperienced QB playing on a road in a hostile environment. I just don’t see them being able to do a whole lot against LSU’s speed and athleticism. For that reason, I see the under hitting.
College Football Week 13 Prediction: Arkansas/LSU Under 69