UCF vs. South Florida Total Pick
Can No. 9 UCF continue to dominate on offense when the Knights go on the road to face their biggest rival, South Florida on Friday at 4:15PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
133 UCF at 134 South Florida
Friday, November 23, 2018
4:15PM ET – Raymond James Stadium
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, UCF is the favorite on the road, as the Knights are getting odds of -14 points against South Florida. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 68.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 73 percent going on Central Florida on the road.
Central Florida still unbeaten
Central Florida continued its unbeaten season last week with a dominant 38-13 win over Cincinnati at home. UCF is 10-0 on the season and 7-0 in the AAC. The Knights are 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 with the under. They have hit the under in six of their last seven games.
UCF has been pretty strong on both sides of the ball. The defense is giving up 419.1 yards per game, but allowing only 20.4 points per contest. Offensively, the Knights are putting up 43.6 points and 528.9 yards per game. McKenzie Milton has thrown for 2,577 yards and 24 touchdowns to lead the offense. He also has nine rushing touchdowns. Greg McCrae has led the ground attack with 714 yards and five touchdowns while Adrian Killins Jr. had 573 yards and four touchdowns.
USF on a skid
After a great start to the 2018 season, the Bulls have dropped four straight following a 27-17 loss at Temple. USF is now 7-4 overall and 3-4 in the AAC. The Bulls are 4-7 against the spread and 6-5 with the under. USF has hit the under in two of its last three games.
The Bulls are giving up 30.9 points and 431.4 yards per game on defense. Their run defense is giving up 231.4 yards per game on the ground. When it comes to offense, the Bulls are putting up 30.9 points and 456.5 yards per game. Their rushing attack is putting up over 200 yards per game. Jordan Cronkrite leads the ground attack with 1,065 yards and nine touchdowns while Johnny Ford has 617 yards and eight scores. Blake Barnett has thrown or 2,493 yards and 11 touchdowns, but also has 11 interceptions. He also has rushed for 313 yards and eight touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Knights have hit the under in five of their last six conference games and five of their last seven road games.
South Florida has hit the under in seven of its last 10 home games and in 21 of its last 30 games in November.
UCF hasn’t been stopped by anyone this year and South Florida is surely not going to get the job done this week either. Look for the Knights to push for around 40 points ore more, as their pass and ground game should carve up the Bulls. The key will be for USF to contribute to the total. The Bulls have not been moving the ball in recent weeks and I think the Knights are coming to town looking to make a point. I expect a stronger defensive showing for UCF in this game which I think will keep the total under.
College Football Prediction: UCF/South Florida Under 68.5