Virginia vs. Miami Prediction

Virginia vs. Miami College Football Predictions Against the Spread 11/18/17

After routing Notre Dame last Saturday night, can the Miami Hurricanes get back up today and beat the visiting Virginia Cavaliers to keep their undefeated season alive?

ODDSMAKERS LIKE: Miami. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Hurricanes are now 19.5-point home favorites to beat the Cavaliers, who opened as 18-point road underdogs. The total, meanwhile, sits at 50.5 points after hitting the board at that same number.

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THE PUBLIC LIKES: Virginia. Public bettors must be expecting a letdown for Miami because as of Saturday morning, 52% of the betting tickets were on the Cavaliers to cover today.

HISTORICAL TRENDS LIKE: Virginia. The underdog has cashed in six of the last seven meetings between these two teams while the road squad has also covered in five of the last six meetings. The Cavaliers, meanwhile, are 5-1 at the betting window in their last six trips to Miami and are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games overall versus the Hurricanes.

WHO WE LIKE: Virginia. All right, I'll play into the narrative that Miami will come out flat. The Hurricanes are coming off back-to-back primetime performances versus Virginia Tech and Notre Dame. Now they're playing a Noon kickoff against a Virginia team that doesn't bring the same flare as the Hokies or Fighting Irish. Miami has already clinched the Coast Division and will play Clemson in a few weeks, so while I don't think the 'Canes lose today, I do think it'll be closer than the odds suggest.

Virginia is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games versus a team with a winning record and has covered in five of its last seven contests after allowing more than 450 total yards in its previous game. The Hurricanes, meanwhile, are just 1-4 at the betting window in their last five games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 12 PICK: VIRGINIA CAVALIERS +19.5

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