Air Force vs. Boise State Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Boise State is favored at home, as the Broncos are getting odds of -17.5 points against Air Force. The over/under total for the game is listed at 57 points. Air Force has had control the of recent series winning three straight meetings with Boise State while covering in the last five encounters. The public is currently putting 63 percent of its wagers on Air Force on the road today. This game will be held from Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho and will air live on ESPN2.
Boise State is coming off a 59-52 OT win over Colorado State last week to improve to 8-2 on the season and 6-0 in the Mountain West. The Broncos are 7-3 against the spread this season while covering in the last three contests. Boise State has a defense that has really been locked in, allowing 23.1 points and 334.1 yards per game this season. On offense, Boise State is putting up 33.9 points and 401.2 yards per contest. Brett Rypien has thrown for 1,691 yards and 11 touchdowns to lead the offense while Alexander Mattison has run for 919 yards and 10 scores. Cedrick Wilson is the leading receiver with 53 catches for 901 yards and six scores.
Air Force is coming off a 28-14 loss at home to Wyoming for its second straight contest. The Falcons are 4-6 on the season and 3-3 in the Mountain West. Air Force is also 4-6 against the spread, covering in just one of their last five contests. Air Force has an offense that has been productive, averaging 32 points and 426.8 yards per game. However, its defense is giving up 34.4 points and 419.8 yards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Falcons put up 309.5 rushing yards per game. Quarterback Arion Worthman has thrown for 1,100 yards and 10 touchdowns this season while rushing for a team-high 821 yards and 13 touchdowns. Timothy McVey is adding 684 rushing yards and six touchdowns.
Air Force has had Boise’s number, but I think the tide turns tonight. The Broncos are playing well and should have plenty of motivation to snap this losing streak to the Falcons and do it in style. Air Force is just 2-11 against the spread in their last 13 conference games and 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games after a loss. Look for Boise State to take out years of revenge on Air Force tonight.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: BOISE STATE -17.5