Cincinnati vs. UCF Prediction
Will No. 11 UCF continue its unbeaten season and pick up another cover at home when the Knights play host to No. 24 Cincinnati tonight at 8PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
353 Cincinnati at 354 UCF
Saturday, November 17, 2018
8PM ET – Spectrum Stadium
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, UCF is the slight favorite at home, as the Knights are getting odds of -7 points against Cincinnati. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 61 points. The public betting currently has 55 percent going on Cincinnati on the road.
UCF looking for 10th win
Central Florida has kept up its unbeaten season going following a 35-24 win over Navy at home last week. The Knights are now 9-0 on the season and 6-0 in the AAC. They are 6-3 against the spread and 6-3 with the under. UCF is 5-2 against the spread in its last seven games.
The Knights are putting up big numbers on offense this year, averaging 44.2 points and 543 yards per game. They are evenly balanced with production on the ground and through the air. McKenzie Milton has thrown for 2,309 yards and 21 touchdowns with just five interceptions. He also has rushed for 285 yards and eight touchdowns. Greg McCrae is the leading rusher with 673 yards and four scores while Gabriel Davis has caught 37 passes for 571 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing just 21.2 points per game. However, they do allow 423.6 yards per contest, including over 200 rushing yards per game.
Cincinnati on a three-game win streak
Cincinnati has won three straight coming into this weekend’s game, including a 35-23 win over South Florida at home last weekend. The Bearcats are now 9-1 overall and 5-1 in the AAC. Cincy is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 with the under. The Bearcats are just 1-3 against the spread over their last four games.
The Bearcats are strong on defense this year, allowing just 14.9 points and 278.2 yards per game. They have allowed only 177 passing yards per game this season. Offensively, the Bearcats put up 35.0 points and 447.8 yards per game. Their ground game is putting up 235.8 yards per contest. Michael Warren II is leading the team with 1,082 yards and 17 touchdowns on the ground. Quarterback Desmond Ridder has thrown for 1,897 yards and 15 touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
Central Florida is 4-1 against the spread in its last five home games and 8-3 ATS in its last 11 overall.
Cincinnati is 7-15 against the spread in its last 22 conference games and just 1-6 ATS in its last seven against a winning team.
Cincinnati is still somewhat unproven and unknown. We haven’t seen the Bearcats truly tested yet by anyone of note. Their lone loss was in OT against Temple on the road, but Cincinnati certainly doesn’t have the fire power on offense that UCF does. The Knights have done a good job of being able to cover big spreads for the most part. Given all that is at stake for UCF this week and the pressure situations the program has been over the last 12 months, I think that will carry them to the win and cover over Cincy.
College Football Prediction: UCF -7