Navy vs. Notre Dame Prediction
Will No. 16 Notre Dame be in danger of being upset today when the Fighting Irish take on No. 23 Navy at 2:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
357 Navy vs. 358 Notre Dame
Saturday, November 16, 2019
2:30PM ET – Notre Dame Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Notre Dame is favored at home, as the Fighting Irish are getting odds of -7 points against Navy. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 55 points. The public betting currently has 63 percent going on Navy as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
ND looking for third straight win
Notre Dame is riding back-to-back wins over Virginia Tech and Duke, including a 38-7 win at Duke last weekend. The win moves the Fighting Irish to 7-2 on the season, 5-4 against the spread and 6-3 with the under.
The Fighting Irish have a pretty sound defense, allowing just 19.2 points and 329.1 yards per game. Offensively, Notre Dame is putting up 34.2 points and 424.4 yards per contest. Ian Book is leading the team with 2,009 passing yards and 21 touchdowns while also rushing for 390 yards and four scores. Tony Jones Jr. is the leading rusher with 585 yards and four scores, but is dealing with a rib injury. He is still expected to play this afternoon. Chase Claypool is the team’s leading receiver with 42 catches for 651 yards and five touchdowns.
Navy staying hot
The Navy Midshipmen are riding a five-game winning streak following a 56-10 win at Connecticut two weeks ago. Navy is now 7-1 on the season, 6-2 against the spread and 5-3 with the over.
Navy has been led this season by its physical run game. The Midshipmen are averaging a nation-best 358.2 yards per game on the ground, which has led to 40.1 points and 457.1 yards per game. Defensively, Navy is giving up 18.1 points and 310.9 yards per contest. Malcolm Perry has rushed for 1,042 yards and 16 touchdowns while throwing for 722 yards and five scores. Nelson Smith has added 505 rushing yards and seven scores while Jamale Carothers has 355 yards rushing with eight touchdowns. The Navy defense is led by Jacob Springer, who has 41 tackles and seven sacks.
College Football Betting Trends
The Irish are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven home games, but just 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games in November.
The Midshipmen are 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 games overall and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on fieldturf.
Notre Dame has won seven of the last eight in this series, but Navy has covered in four of the last six meetings. While the Fighting Irish are familiar with the triple-option that Navy will run, I think the Irish are going to have some struggles on offense today. They haven’t quite been the dominant unit that we have expected to see for most of the season. I think this game is going to by very physical and controlled by the defensive fronts. For that reason, I like Navy’s chances to cover the spread.
College Football Week 12 Prediction: Navy +7