Boise State vs. New Mexico Prediction

Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos, 11/16/18 Predictions & Odds

No. 25 Boise State is set to hit the road tonight as it looks to stay in the Mountain West Conference race. Will the Broncos be able to run over New Mexico at 9PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

317 Boise State at 318 New Mexico

Friday, November 16, 2018

9PM ET – Dreamstyle Stadium

TV: CBS Sports Network

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers at, Boise State is heavily favored on the road, as the Broncos are getting odds of -20 points against New Mexico. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 62.5 points. The public betting currently has 72 percent going on Boise State on the road.

Boise State on a roll

Boise State is on a five-game winning streak right now following a 24-17 victory over Fresno State at home last week. The Broncos are now 8-2 overall and 5-1 in the Mountain West Conference. Boise State is 5-4-1 against the spread and 5-5 with the over/under total. They are 1-1-1 ATS in their last three.

The Broncos have been pretty strong on both sides of the ball. Their defense is allowing just 23 points and 365.2 yards per game. When it comes to offense, Boise State is putting up 36.6 points and 466.6 yards per game. Their passing attack averages over 300 yards per game. Brett Rypien has thrown for 3,048 yards and 25 touchdowns with seven interceptions to lead this offense. A.J. Richardson has caught 44 passes for 719 yards and eight touchdowns while Alexander Mattison has rushed for 870 yards and 12 touchdowns.

Lobos on a skid

New Mexico is coming off a 42-24 loss at Air Force last week for its fifth consecutive loss. The Lobos are 3-7 on the season and 1-5 in the Mountain West Conference. They are 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 with the over. New Mexico is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games.

The Lobos have struggled defensively, as they are giving up 35.8 points and 482 yards per game. They have allowed over 200 rushing yards per contest. When it comes to offense, New Mexico is putting up 30.2 points per game, but are averaging just 362 yards per contest. The Lobos have had injuries through the year and have settled on Sheriron Jones at QB. He has thrown for 1,316 yards and 13 touchdowns with 11 interceptions. Tyrone Owens has led the offense during the year with 628 yards and six touchdowns.

College Football Betting Trends

Boise State

Boise State is 8-3-1 against the spread in their last 12 road games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games against a losing team.

New Mexico

The Lobos are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 conference games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Friday games.


Boise State is the better team, without question, but the Broncos have had trouble with New Mexico in the past. The Lobos have covered the spread in six of their last seven meetings with Boise State. While the Broncos are on a win streak, four of the five wins have been by 7 points or less, so they aren’t exactly running away from opponents. The Lobos only have three losses by 20 points or more and just one came at home. I think New Mexico will do enough at home to cover this spread.

College Football Prediction: New Mexico +20


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