Nebraska vs. Penn State Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Penn State is favored at home in this game, as the Nittany Lions are getting odds of -26 points against Nebraska. The over/under total has been set at 55.5 points. Nebraska has won four straight meetings with Penn State and the two have hit the under in four of their last five meetings. The public is currently putting 75 percent of the wagers on Penn State at home. Saturday’s game takes place from Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania and will air live on FS1.
Nebraska is coming off a 54-21 loss at Minnesota last week to fall to 4-6 overall and 3-4 in the Big Ten. The Cornhuskers are 5-4-1 with the over this season. Nebraska is struggling on defense, allowing 32.5 points and 412 yards per game, including 200 rushing yards per contest. Offensively, the Huskers average 25.1 points and 388.7 yards per game. Tanner Lee has thrown for 2,539 yards and 18 touchdowns with 13 interceptions. Lee left the last game with a concussion and is questionable to play on Saturday. JD Spielman and Stanley Morgan Jr. have combined for 1,461 receiving yards and nine touchdowns.
Penn State is coming off a 35-6 win over Rutgers at home to snap a two-game losing streak. The Nittany Lions are 8-2 on the season and 5-2 in the Big Ten. Penn State is 6-4 with the under this year, but they have hit the over in three of their last four contests. Penn State is averaging 37.7 points and 429.6 yards per game on offense this season. Trace McSorley has thrown for 2,666 yards and 21 touchdowns this season while also rushing for 349 yards and nine touchdowns. Saquon Barkley has run for 899 yards and 11 touchdowns. He also has 40 catches for 524 yards. DaeSean Hamilton is the leading receiver with 39 catches for 646 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing just 13.9 points and 318.3 yards per contest.
Penn State is capable of putting up a big number in this one, but the Nittany Lions are a little more conserved on offense than some of the other Big Ten teams. Nebraska is really struggling right now, so I don’t expect too much from its offense and the defensive resistance will be limited to how hard Penn State pushes. I expect the Nittany Lions to win big, but I think the two will hit the under.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: NEBRASKA/PENN STATE UNDER 55.5