San Diego St. vs. Fresno St. Total Pick
Will the total be low or high when Mountain West Conference foes, Fresno State and San Diego State, meet up this Saturday night at 10:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
421 San Diego State at 422 Fresno State
Saturday, November 17, 2018
10:30PM ET – Bulldog Stadium
TV: CBS Sports Network
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Fresno State is the favorite at home, as the Bulldogs are getting odds of -13 points against SDSU. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 42 points. The public betting currently has 61 percent going on San Diego State on the road.
San Diego State upset by UNLV
The San Diego State Aztecs are coming off a surprising loss to UNLV at home last week for their second loss in three games. The Aztecs were 24-point favorites coming into the game and lost 27-24. They are now 7-3 overall and 4-2 in the Mountain West Conference. The Aztecs are 2-8 against the spread and 7-3 with the under.
San Diego State has been strong defensively on the year, allowing 20.7 points and 302.3 yards per game. Their run defense is holding opponents to just 94.7 yards per contest. Offensively, San Diego State has struggled for consistency, putting up just 22.4 points and 356.4 yards per game. The team has their leading two receivers injured right now, but they only had over 300 yards each. The offense is led by Juwan Washington, who has rushed for 674 yards and eight touchdowns while Chase Jasmin has 585 rushing yards and five scores. Ryan Agnew has thrown for 1,404 yards and eight touchdowns.
Fresno State ends win streak
The Fresno State football team saw its seven-game win streak come to an end last week in a 24-17 loss at Boise State. The Bulldogs are now 8-2 on the season and 5-1 in the MWC. Fresno State is also 8-2 against the spread and 6-4 with the under. Fresno has hit the under in five of its last six games.
The Bulldogs have been hitting the under because their defense has been so strong. They are allowing just 13.5 points and 321.1 yards per game. Their pass defense is holding opponents to 187.3 yards per contest. Offensively, Fresno is putting up 38.1 points and 427.2 yards per game. Marcus McMaryion has thrown for 2,699 yards and 21 touchdowns this year with just three interceptions while also rushing for seven touchdowns. KeeSean Johnson has 70 catches for 953 yards and seven touchdowns while Jordan Mims is the leading rusher with 353 yards and four touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
San Diego State
San Diego State has hit the under in five of its last seven conference games and in four of its last five games following a loss.
Fresno State
Fresno State has hit the under in nine straight games in November and in 19 of their last 26 conference games.
Prediction:
The total being set at 42 points seems low, but these teams have hit the under in five straight meetings as and the two have been under 40 points in their last four encounters. The Aztecs don’t have much to offer on offense right now, especially in the pass game. Fresno can stack the box and slow down the SDSU run game to limit possessions and time. Fresno State has the more explosive offense, but not enough to put up about 35 points on the Aztecs.
College Football Prediction: San Diego State/Fresno State Under 42