Toledo vs. Bowling Green Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Toledo is the clear favorite on the road, as the Rockets are getting odds of -17 points against Bowling Green. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 66 points. Toledo has won seven straight meetings with Bowling Green coming into tonight and the Rockets are 4-2-1 against the spread in those seven meetings. The public is currently putting 74 percent of the wagers on Toledo on the road. Tonight’s game takes place from Doyt Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, Ohio and will air live on ESPNU.
Toledo is coming off a 38-10 loss at Ohio last week, snapping a five-game win streak. The Rockets are now 8-2 overall and 5-1 in the MAC. Toledo is 5-5 against the spread, but the Rockets have covered in four of their last five games. Toledo is putting up 36.1 points and 497.6 yards per game. The team is expected to be without leading rusher Terry Swanson tonight. He has run for 853 yards and 11 touchdowns this year, but has a leg injury keeping him off the field. Logan Woodside has thrown for 2,919 yards and 20 touchdowns this year with just two interceptions. Diontae Johnson has 55 catches for 1,003 yards and nine scores. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 25.8 points and 387 yards per game.
Bowling Green is coming off a 38-28 loss at Buffalo last week to fall to 2-8 on the season and 2-4 in the MAC. The Falcons are 2-8 against the spread as well, covering the spread in their two wins. Bowling Green is allowing 35.6 points and 505.2 yards per game on defense. On offense, BG is putting up 23.6 points and 378.4 yards per contest. Jarret Doege has taken over at QB in recent games. He has thrown for 855 yards and six touchdowns with just one INT. Andrew Clair and Josh Cleveland have combined for 1,246 rushing yards and seven touchdowns.
The loss of Swanson could pose a problem for Toledo, but the Rockets still have a strong QB in Woodside that should be able to carve up this defense. Toledo is 10-2 against the spread in its last 12 against a team with a losing record and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games. Bowling Green is just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: TOLEDO -17