TCU vs. Texas Tech Total Prediction

College Football Predictions: TCU vs. Texas Tech to fall Under? 11/15/17

Is the betting total for Saturday afternoon's Big 12 matchup between TCU and Texas Tech set too high? Kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. ET for Saturday's game.

Game Info

Matchup: TCU (8-2) at Texas Tech (5-5)

TV: FS1, 12:00 p.m. ET

Line: TCU -7

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 57 points after hitting the board at 59. Texas Tech, meanwhile, opened as an 8-point home underdog but the line dropped to 7 at most sportsbooks.

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Who is the Public Backing?

As of Wednesday morning, 66% of tickets are on the Horned Frogs to cover the spread.

Key Betting Trends

The Horned Frogs are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games against the Red Raiders and are winless at 0-4 against the number in their last four games in Lubbock. The home team has also covered in six of the last eight meetings while the underdog has cashed in four of the last five games.

OUR PREDICTION: The under is a perfect 6-0 in TCU's last six games overall, is 5-1 in its last six road games, and is 4-0 in its last four games in November. On the other side, the under is 4-1 in the Red Raiders' last five games versus a team with a winning record and has cashed in four of their last five games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

This is all you need to know about where Kenny Hill (who is banged-up) and TCU's offense is right now: The Horned Frogs only mustered 20 points versus Oklahoma last week. I know the game was in Norman but 20 points against that defense? I don't trust TCU's offense to contribute enough to push the score over the total on Saturday, but I do trust Gary Patterson's defense despite it's rough first half versus Baker Mayfield and Co.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 12 PICK: TCU/TEXAS TECH UNDER 57

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