Miss State vs. Arkansas Total Pick
Will Saturday's SEC tilt between the Mississippi State Bulldogs and Arkansas Razorbacks turn into a shootout on Saturday? Kickoff for this matchup is set for 12:00 p.m. ET.
Matchup: Mississippi State (7-3) at Arkansas (4-6)
TV: CBS, 12:00 p.m. ET
Line: Mississippi State -11.5
Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 59 points after hitting the board at that same number. Mississippi State, meanwhile, opened as a 12.5-point road favorite but the line was bet down to 11.5 at most sportsbooks.
Who is the Public Backing?
As of Wednesday morning, 66% of betting tickets are on the Bulldogs, minus the spread, to cover the spread.
Key Betting Trends
The road team has covered in all four of the last four meetings between these two teams. The favorite is also 6-2 against the spread in the last eight meetings, while the Bulldogs are just 2-5 against the number in their last seven games in Fayetteville.
OUR PREDICTION: The over has cashed in five of the last six meetings between these two teams when Arkansas is the host and is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings overall. The over is also 5-2 in the Bulldogs' last seven road games, where Mississippi State often fails to play defense. The over is also 5-1 in the Bulldogs' last six games versus a team with a losing record and is a perfect 6-0 in their last six games played in November.
On the other side, the over is 4-0 in the Razorbacks' last four home games, is 4-1 in their last five games coming off a loss, and has hit in six of their last eight games overall.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 12 PICK: MISSISSIPPI STATE/ARKANSAS OVER 59