LA Monroe vs. Auburn Total Pick
Coming off their big win versus Georgia, the Auburn Tigers will now try to get back up for LA Monroe on Saturday afternoon. Will the game be high-scoring for bettors?
Matchup: LA Monroe (4-5) at Auburn (8-2)
TV: ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET
Line: Auburn -37
Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 68 points after hitting the board at that same number. Auburn is also 37-point home favorites versus the Warhawks, who opened as 35.5-point underdogs.
Who is the Public Backing?
As of Wednesday morning, 63% of tickets are on the Tigers to cover the spread.
Key Betting Trends
The favorite has covered in five of the last seven meetings between these two teams while the home team is also 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings. Meanwhile, the Warhawks are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games versus the Tigers and have failed to cover in five of their last seven games in Auburn.
OUR PREDICTION: The over is 13-3 in the Warhawks' last 16 road games, is 21-6 in their last 27 games overall, and is 16-7 in their last 23 games versus SEC opponents. On the other side, the over is a perfect 7-0 in the Tigers' last seven games overall, is 6-0 in their last six games coming off a win, and is 4-0 in their last four games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
I do worry about LA Monroe scoring against an Auburn defense that is allowing just 16.9 points per game, which is 11th in the nation. But the Tigers will post at least 40 points on their own and they should draw closer to 50. So if I can get a touchdown from the Warhawks during the game and another garbage score late then that should be enough to push the score over the total.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 12 PICK: LA MONROE/AUBURN OVER 68