New Mexico vs. Boise State Total Pick
Will No. 21 Boise State have any trouble scoring points at home when the Broncos take on New Mexico this Saturday at 10:15PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
347 New Mexico vs. 348 Boise State
Saturday, November 16, 2019
10:15PM ET – Albertsons Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Boise State is the clear favorite in this game, as the Broncos are getting odds of -27.5 points against New Mexico. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 59 points. The public betting currently has 63 percent going on Boise State as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Lobos in a freefall
New Mexico has lost six straight games coming into this weekend after a 21-10 loss at Nevada two weeks ago. The Lobos are now 2-7 on the season, 0-5 in the Mountain West, 3-6 against the spread and 5-4 with the under.
New Mexico has been one of the worst defenses in the country this year, allowing 35.8 points and 490.4 yards per contest. Offensively, New Mexico is averaging 23.4 points and 419 yards per game. Ahmari Davis is leading New Mexico’s offense with 823 rushing yards and seven touchdowns while Tevaka Tuioti has thrown for 1,250 yards and seven touchdowns for the Lobos. Jordan Kress is the leading receiver for the team with 18 catches for 449 yards and four touchdowns.
Boise outlasts Wyoming
Boise State got a scare at home last weekend, picking up a 20-17 overtime victory over Wyoming. The Broncos are now 8-1 on the season, 5-0 in the Mountain West Conference, 4-4-1 against the spread and 5-4 with the over.
The Broncos are balanced on both sides of the ball. The defense is giving up just 22.7 points and 344.2 yards per game while the offense is putting up 35.4 points and 448.8 yards per contest. Hank Bachmeier missed the last game, but is expected back on Saturday. He has thrown for 1,760 yards and nine touchdowns this year. George Holani is the team’s leading rusher with 619 yards and five scores, while John Hightower is the leading receiver with 33 catches for 630 yards and five touchdowns. Curtis Weaver is leading the Boise defense with 40 tackles and 12.5 sacks.
College Football Betting Trends
The Lobos have hit the under in their last four road games and in six of their last seven conference games.
The Broncos are 6-1 with the under in their last seven games in November and in 23 of their last 32 home games.
These two have hit the under in three of their last four meetings and its due to New Mexico not being able to contribute enough points. The Lobos have scored 10 points in three of their last six and haven’t had more than 21 points in five of their last six games. Boise’s defense should be able to hold this offense in check at home, keeping the Lobos to something around 10-14 points. Boise has potential to put up some big points on offense against New Mexico, but Broncos will have to push for about 50 points for the over to hit, in my opinion. I just can’t trust that to happen. Boise has the players, but their style isn’t always conducive to putting up a lot of points.
College Football Week 12 Prediction: New Mexico/Boise State Under 59