Alabama vs. Mississippi State Free Pick

College Football Alabama vs. Mississippi State Week 11 Free Pick

Alabama covered the spread as a 6.5-point home favorite last weekend versus LSU but will the Tide cover as a sizable favorite on the road when it visits Mississippi State at 3:30PM ET today?

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The Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Crimson Tide is now an 8-point favorite versus the Bulldogs after Mississippi State opened as a 7-point home underdog. The total, meanwhile, opened at 50 and is now sitting at 51.5.

The Records

After beating and covering the spread last weekend versus LSU, Alabama is now 8-1 on the year and 4-5 against the spread. Mississippi State won and covered as a road favorite last weekend versus Missouri and is now 7-2 overall and 6-3 against the spread.

The Pick

This matchup favors Alabama in several facets, including how Mississippi State is allowing 4.7 yards per carry in the SEC this season (not a good sign with Derrick Henry coming to town). The Crimson Tide also have the best front seven in all of football and the last time the Bulldogs were truly tested they trailed LSU 21-6 in the fourth quarter. before eventually succumbing to a 21-19 defeat. But Mississippi State is 5-1 against the spread in its last six home games and 4-1 ATS in its last five conference matchups. They're also led by Dak Prescott, the type of mobile quarterback that has given Nick Saban's defenses trouble over the years. The Tide should get rolling (no pun intended), but 8 points is a lot to give to a competitive Bulldogs team looking for a statement win.


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