NIU vs. Toledo Prediction
Can Toledo pick up a needed win at home and stay in the MAC race when the Rockets play host to struggling Northern Illinois tonight at 8PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
307 Northern Illinois vs. 308 Toledo
Wednesday, November 13, 2019
8PM ET – Glass Bowl
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Toledo is the slight favorite at home, as the Rockets are getting odds of -2.5 points against NIU. The over/under total is listed at 54.5 points. The public betting currently has 73 percent going on Toledo as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Toledo still in the hunt
Toledo has won its last two games over Eastern Michigan and Kent State by a combined five points to stay in the MAC title race this season. Toledo is now 6-3 overall, 3-2 in the MAC, 4-5 against the spread and 5-4 with the over.
The Rockets have put up a pretty strong offense this year, averaging 29.1 points and 450.2 yards per game. However, the Toledo defense is allowing 28.6 points and 467.9 yards per contest. Injuries are a concern right now, as quarterbacks Mithcell Guadagni and Carter Bradley are both questionable for this game due to undisclosed injuries while leading rusher Bryan Koback is questionable with a leg injury. Guadagni has been the leading passer with 1,099 yards and eight touchdowns while Koback has rushed for 1,052 yards and 10 touchdowns. Bryce Mitchell is the team’s leading receiver with 22 catches for 431 yards and two touchdowns.
Northern Illinois is coming off a 48-10 loss at Central Michigan back on Nov. 12. The Huskies are struggling this year, going just 3-6 on the season, 2-3 in the MAC, 5-4 against the spread and 5-4 with the over.
Usually known for defense, NIU hasn’t been nearly as strong this year. The Huskies are giving up 27.9 points and 375.1 yards per game this year. On offense, NIU is putting up 23.2 points and 364 yards per game. Ross Bowers is leading the team with 1,947 passing yards and six touchdowns, but has eight interceptions. Tre Harbison is leading the ground attack with 741 rushing yards and seven touchdowns while Cole Tucker has 32 catches for 483 yards and a score.
College Football Betting Trends
Toledo is 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games, but just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win.
The Huskies are just 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Toledo has won and covered the spread in two of the last three against Northern Illinois. The Huskies have been a hard team to figure out, as they have had some awful losses, but some impressive wins, including a 39-36 win at Ohio. Still, NIU has come up short in most games and its been due to a lack of offense more than defensive struggles. Toledo has some big injury concerns, but the Rockets have always found ways to score at home. They have put up at least 28 points in each home game this year and that should be enough points to win and cover tonight. I just don’t see the NIU offense traveling in this midweek primetime game.
College Football Week 12 Prediction: Toledo -2.5