UNC vs. Pittsburgh Total Pick
Can Pittsburgh put up a big total at home when the Panthers take on North Carolina this Thursday night at 8PM ET in ACC play?
Game Snapshot & Odds
313 North Carolina vs. 314 Pittsburgh
Thursday, November 14, 2019
8PM ET – Heinz Field
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Pittsburgh is the favorite at home, as the Panthers are getting odds of -5 points against North Carolina. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 49 points. The public betting currently has 72 percent going on North Carolina as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
UNC struggling to get on track
North Carolina is coming off a 38-31 loss at Virginia back on Nov. 2 for a fifth loss in seven games. The Tar Heels are now just 4-5 on the season, 3-3 in the ACC, 5-4 against the spread and 5-4 with the over.
The Tar Heels have a respectable offense that is putting up 27.9 points and 445.9 yards per game. Defensively, UNC is allowing 27.1 points and 396.3 yards per outing. Quarterback Sam Howell is having a nice season, as he has thrown for 2,472 yards and 26 touchdowns with just five interceptions. However, he has been sacked 28 times. Dyami Brown is his leading receiver with 32 catches for 679 yards and eight touchdowns while Javonte Williams is the leading rusher with 738 yards and three touchdowns. Chazz Surratt has been leading the defense with 90 tackles, five sacks and an interception.
Pitt playing well
Pittsburgh is coming off a 20-10 win at Georgia Tech on Nov. 2. The Panthers have won five of their last six and their last two losses were by just one score. Pitt is now 6-3 on the season, 3-2 in the ACC, 6-3 against the spread and 7-2 with the under.
The Panthers haven’t been great defensively in years past, but this year’s unit is playing well. They are giving up just 20.1 points and 280.2 yards per game in 2019. The unit is led by Kylan Johnson, who has 39 tackles with six sacks. Offensively, Pitt is only averaging 20.9 points and 380 yards per contest. Kenny Pickett has led the offense with 1,952 passing yards and nine touchdowns, but he also has eight interceptions. Taysir Mack and Maurice Ffrench have combined for 128 receptions for 1,216 yards and five scores. A.J. Davis is the leading rusher with 407 yards and three scores.
College Football Betting Trends
UNC has hit the over in seven of its last eight road games, but has hit the under in eight of its last 10 Thursday games.
The Panthers have hit the under in seven of their last eight conference games and in six of their last seven at home.
These two have hit the over in three straight and five of their last six meetings. I don’t think I see that this time around. Pitt is a team that has won with defense this year and the Panthers aren’t a team that is built to win shootouts. UNC isn’t a good defense, but the Tar Heels should look better this week. The Tar Heels are likely to hit a speed bump on offense. They have struggled to move the ball against the likes of Clemson and Duke already. I don’t trust them to put up a big total on the road in a midweek game.
College Football Week 12 Prediction: North Carolina/Pittsburgh Under 49