South Carolina vs. Florida Prediction

South Carolina vs. Florida College Football Week 11 Predictions 11/12/16

Bettors that appreciate a good defensive struggle will love the South Carolina versus Florida matchup today at 12:00PM ET.

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Gators are now 11.5-point home favorites versus the Gamecocks after opening as a 14-point favorite. As for the total, the number opened at 37.5 and that's where it currently sits at the majority of both online and Vegas sports books.

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SOUTH CAROLINA KEY TRENDS: The Gamecocks have fared well as an underdog lately, covering in their last five games as a dog of 10.5 points or greater. They're also 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as a road underdog of 10.5 points or greater and have also covered the spread in four of their last five games overall versus a team with a winning record entering the game.

FLORIDA KEY TRENDS: The Gators haven't been a good play as a home favorite, covering just five times in their last seven games favored in Gainesville. They're also just 2-6 at the betting window in their last eight home games overall and have struggled in the month of November as well, going 1-4 at the betting window in their last five games playing in this month. That said, the Gators have covered the spread in five of their last seven games coming off a loss.

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OUR PREDICTION: Sharp bettors have already grabbed South Carolina at the Gamecocks' ultimate value: As a two touchdown underdog, which is what oddsmakers originally released South Carolina as. So let's look at the total. The under is 11-2 in the Gators' last 13 games as a favorite and is a perfect 6-0 in their last six games played in the month of November. The under is also 18-7-1 in South Carolina's last 26 games overall and 4-0 in its last four road games. Florida owns the No. 5 scoring defense in the country while South Carolina is a respectable 22nd, allowing just 21.2 points per game. The total is low, but it should be.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11 PICK: SOUTH CAROLINA/FLORIDA UNDER 37.5

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