South Carolina vs. Florida Prediction
Bettors that appreciate a good defensive struggle will love the South Carolina versus Florida matchup today at 12:00PM ET.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Gators are now 11.5-point home favorites versus the Gamecocks after opening as a 14-point favorite. As for the total, the number opened at 37.5 and that's where it currently sits at the majority of both online and Vegas sports books.
SOUTH CAROLINA KEY TRENDS: The Gamecocks have fared well as an underdog lately, covering in their last five games as a dog of 10.5 points or greater. They're also 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as a road underdog of 10.5 points or greater and have also covered the spread in four of their last five games overall versus a team with a winning record entering the game.
FLORIDA KEY TRENDS: The Gators haven't been a good play as a home favorite, covering just five times in their last seven games favored in Gainesville. They're also just 2-6 at the betting window in their last eight home games overall and have struggled in the month of November as well, going 1-4 at the betting window in their last five games playing in this month. That said, the Gators have covered the spread in five of their last seven games coming off a loss.
OUR PREDICTION: Sharp bettors have already grabbed South Carolina at the Gamecocks' ultimate value: As a two touchdown underdog, which is what oddsmakers originally released South Carolina as. So let's look at the total. The under is 11-2 in the Gators' last 13 games as a favorite and is a perfect 6-0 in their last six games played in the month of November. The under is also 18-7-1 in South Carolina's last 26 games overall and 4-0 in its last four road games. Florida owns the No. 5 scoring defense in the country while South Carolina is a respectable 22nd, allowing just 21.2 points per game. The total is low, but it should be.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11 PICK: SOUTH CAROLINA/FLORIDA UNDER 37.5