LSU vs. Arkansas Prediction
Fresh off its loss to Alabama, will LSU rebound by winning and covering versus Arkansas tonight at 7:00PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Tigers are now 7-point road favorites versus the Razorbacks after opening as a 6.5-point favorite. As for the total, the number opened at 46 and that's where it currently sits.
LSU KEY TRENDS: The Tigers fell to the Crimson Tide 10-0 as a 7-point home underdog last Saturday night and are 2-5 against the number in their last seven games following an ATS loss. They've also been a poor bet to cover on the road, going 1-4 against the spread in their last five games away from Baton Rouge. As a favorite between 3.5 and 10 points, however, they're 5-2 against the spread.
ARKANSAS KEY TRENDS: As a home underdog of between 3.5 and 10 points, the Razorbacks have covered in seven of those last 10 situations. They're also 7-3 against the number in their last 10 games as an underdog and are 22-8 at the betting window in their last 30 games played in the month of November. Arkansas is coming off an impressive 31-10 stomping against Florida last week as a 3.5-point home dog and has covered in two of its last three games.
OUR PREDICTION: LSU proved once again that if it can't move the ball with Leonard Fournette than its offense will be stuck in mud. Granted, Arkansas is not Alabama, which has the best defense in the nation. But the Tigers can't generate enough explosive plays in the passing game to put opponents away. The Razorbacks may have their problems at times with Fournette, but they should be able to make enough plays offensively to stay within a touchdown at home. Plus, you don't know how motivated LSU is after losing last week to Alabama, so this appears to be a great spot to take the dog.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11 PICK: ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS +7