Purdue vs. Minnesota Total Pick
Will Purdue have another big offensive showcase today when it goes on the road to face Minnesota this afternoon at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Saturday, November 10, 2018
3:30PM ET – TCF Bank Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Purdue is the favorite on the road, as the Boilermakers are getting odds of -10.5 points against the Gophers. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 59 points. The public betting for this game currently has 72 percent going on Purdue on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Gophers fire their DC
Despite a win over Indiana two weeks ago, Minnesota looked awful last week in a 55-31 loss at Illinois. The loss dropped Minnesota to 4-5 overall and 1-5 in the Big Ten. The Gophers are now5-4 against the spread and 6-3 with the over. Minnesota has hit the over in three straight games
Minnesota is putting up 27.8 points per game this season despite averaging just 388.6 yards per game. Quarterback Zack Annexstad has missed the last two games with an ab injury. He has thrown for 1,277 yards and nine touchdowns and seven interceptions and is expected to return today. If he can’t play, Tanner Morgan will step in. Morgan has thrown or 809 yards with five touchdowns this year. Either has a great receiver to throw to in Tyler Johnson. Johnson has caught 57 passes for 975 yards and eight touchdowns this year. Mohamed Ibrahim is leading the ground attack with 562 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is giving up 31.8 points and 423.9 yards per game. Following the loss to Illinois, the Gophers fired Defensive Coordinator Robb Smith.
Purdue still in the Big Ten hunt
Purdue picked up a big 38-36 win at home over Iowa last week to stay in the Big Ten West race. The Boilermakers are 5-4 overall and 4-2 in the Big Ten, just one game behind Northwestern in the division. Purdue is also 6-3 against the spread and 5-4 with the over.
The Boilermakers have been very impactful on offense this season, averaging 33.4 points and 485.9 yards per game. Their passing attack is averaging 330.3 yards per contest. David Blough has thrown for 2,683 yards and 17 touchdowns with seven interceptions this year. Rondale Moore is his leading receiver with 74 catches for 833 yards and seven touchdowns while D.J. Knox is leading the ground game with 753 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Purdue is giving up 24.2 points and 427.9 yards per game. Their pass defense is allowing nearly 300 yards per contest.
College Football Betting Trends
The Gophers have hit the over in five of their last six overall and 7-3 with the over in their last 10 following a failed cover.
Purdue is 8-1 with the under in its last nine road games and 7-1 with the under in its last eight games on fieldturf.
A total pushing 60 points at Minnesota. It’s a lot but the Gophers have given up at least 30 points in six straight and over 40 in four of those games. Purdue is scoring the ball at will against bad defenses. They hit a road block against Michigan State, but that seems to be an anomaly and Minnesota certainly doesn’t have the defensive toughness that the Spartans do. Purdue’s defense is likely to give up around 20 points on the road. They aren’t a lockdown defense so I see the Gophers doing their fair share to contribute to the total.
College Football Prediction: Purdue/Minnesota Over 59